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TROPICAL STORM ETA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  33
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL292020
1500 UTC SUN NOV 08 2020
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
A HURRICANE WARNING AND STORM SURGE WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE
FLORIDA KEYS FROM OCEAN REEF TO THE DRY TORTUGAS...INCLUDING
FLORIDA BAY.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A STORM SURGE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* FLORIDA KEYS FROM OCEAN REEF TO THE DRY TORTUGAS...INCLUDING
FLORIDA BAY
 
A STORM SURGE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* FLORIDA COAST FROM GOLDEN BEACH TO BONITA BEACH...INCLUDING
BISCAYNE BAY
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* FLORIDA KEYS FROM OCEAN REEF TO THE DRY TORTUGAS...INCLUDING
FLORIDA BAY
 
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* FLORIDA COAST FROM DEERFIELD BEACH TO BONITA BEACH
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF CAMAGUEY...CIEGO DE AVILA...SANCTI
SPIRITUS...VILLA CLARA...CIENFUEGOS...AND MATANZAS
* NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS...INCLUDING THE ABACOS...ANDROS
ISLAND...BERRY ISLANDS...BIMINI...ELEUTHERA...GRAND BAHAMA
ISLAND...AND NEW PROVIDENCE
* FLORIDA COAST FROM BREVARD/VOLUSIA COUNTY LINE TO ENGLEWOOD
INCLUDING FLORIDA BAY
* LAKE OKEECHOBEE
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF LA HABANA...ARTEMISA...MAYABEQUE...PINAR
DEL RIO...AND THE ISLE OF YOUTH
* FLORIDA COAST FROM NORTH OF ENGLEWOOD TO ANNA MARIA ISLAND.
 
A STORM SURGE WARNING MEANS THERE IS A DANGER OF LIFE-THREATENING 
INUNDATION...FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE 
COASTLINE...DURING THE NEXT 36 HOURS IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS. FOR 
A DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK...PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER 
SERVICE STORM SURGE WATCH/WARNING GRAPHIC...AVAILABLE AT 
HURRICANES.GOV.  THIS IS A LIFE-THREATENING SITUATION.  PERSONS 
LOCATED WITHIN THESE AREAS SHOULD TAKE ALL NECESSARY ACTIONS TO 
PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY FROM RISING WATER AND THE POTENTIAL FOR 
OTHER DANGEROUS CONDITIONS.  PROMPTLY FOLLOW EVACUATION AND OTHER 
INSTRUCTIONS FROM LOCAL OFFICIALS.
 
A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED 
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.  A WARNING IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 
36 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF 
TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE 
PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS.  PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE 
AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
 
A STORM SURGE WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF LIFE-
THREATENING INUNDATION...FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE
COASTLINE...IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
FOR A DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK...PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE STORM SURGE WATCH/WARNING GRAPHIC...AVAILABLE AT
HURRICANES.GOV.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36
HOURS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN CUBA AND THE FLORIDA PENINSULA SHOULD MONITOR
THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM AS ADDITIONAL TROPICAL STORM WATCHES OR
WARNINGS COULD BE REQUIRED FOR SOME OF THESE AREAS ON SUNDAY.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.5N  79.2W AT 08/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 350 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  993 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 40NE  40SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT.......110NE 100SE  30SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE  90SE  60SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.5N  79.2W AT 08/1500Z
AT 08/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.9N  79.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 24.1N  79.8W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...170NE 100SE  50SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 24.5N  82.4W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 25NE   0SE   0SW  25NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...240NE 100SE  70SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 23.9N  84.1W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 25NE   0SE   0SW  25NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...180NE  90SE  70SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 23.8N  85.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE   0SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE  90SE  70SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 24.0N  85.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE  90SE  70SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 24.9N  85.2W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE  90SE  70SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 12/1200Z 26.2N  84.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 13/1200Z 26.9N  83.9W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.5N  79.2W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT34 KNHC/MIATCPAT4...AT 08/1800Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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