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TROPICAL STORM ETA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  16
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL292020
1500 UTC WED NOV 04 2020
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE NORTHEASTERN COAST OF HONDURAS FROM PUNTA PATUCA TO THE
HONDURAS/NICARAGUA BORDER
* THE COAST OF NICARAGUA FROM THE HONDURAS/NICARAGUA BORDER TO
LAGUNA DE PERLAS.
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN NICARAGUA AND HONDURAS SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.9N  85.2W AT 04/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT   6 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  996 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT.......100NE  40SE  40SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.9N  85.2W AT 04/1500Z...INLAND
AT 04/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.8N  84.9W...INLAND
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 14.1N  86.3W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 14.9N  87.7W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 16.0N  88.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 17.0N  88.2W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 18.0N  86.4W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 19.6N  84.4W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  70SE  50SW  30NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 08/1200Z 23.0N  81.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 09/1200Z 25.0N  82.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.9N  85.2W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT34 KNHC/MIATCPAT4...AT 04/1800Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 
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