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TROPICAL STORM ETA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  15
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL292020
0900 UTC WED NOV 04 2020
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF NICARAGUA FROM THE HONDURAS/NICARAGUA BORDER TO
SANDY BAY SIRPI
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE NORTHEASTERN COAST OF HONDURAS FROM PUNTA PATUCA TO THE
HONDURAS/NICARAGUA BORDER
* THE COAST OF NICARAGUA FROM SOUTH OF SANDY BAY SIRPI TO LAGUNA
DE PERLAS.
 
IT IS RECOMMENDED THAT THE HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE COAST OF
NICARAGUA BE DOWNGRADED OR DISCONTINUED.
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN NICARAGUA AND HONDURAS SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.8N  84.7W AT 04/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT   7 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  990 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT.......100NE  70SE  50SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.8N  84.7W AT 04/0900Z
AT 04/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.8N  84.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 14.0N  85.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  40SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 14.6N  87.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 15.5N  88.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 16.5N  88.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 17.6N  87.6W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 19.0N  85.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW   0NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 08/0600Z 22.6N  81.8W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 09/0600Z 25.0N  81.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.8N  84.7W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT34 KNHC/MIATCPAT4...AT 04/1200Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 
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