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TROPICAL STORM ETA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL292020
0300 UTC SUN NOV 01 2020
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF HONDURAS HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WATCH FOR THE
NORTHEASTERN COAST OF HONDURAS FROM PUNTA PATUCA TO THE
HONDURAS/NICARAGUA BORDER.
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF NICARAGUA HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WATCH FOR THE
NORTHEASTERN COAST OF NICARAGUA FROM THE HONDURAS/NICARAGUA BORDER
TO PUERTO CABEZAS.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE NORTHEASTERN COAST OF HONDURAS FROM PUNTA PATUCA TO THE
HONDURAS/NICARAGUA BORDER.
* THE NORTHEASTERN COAST OF NICARAGUA FROM THE HONDURAS/NICARAGUA
BORDER TO PUERTO CABEZAS
 
A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.  A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS
BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
DANGEROUS.
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN NICARAGUA AND HONDURAS SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM. ADDITIONAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS WILL LIKELY
BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THESE COUNTRIES LATER TONIGHT OR ON
SUNDAY.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.0N  74.2W AT 01/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT  13 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 50NE   0SE   0SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 50NE   0SE   0SW  50NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.0N  74.2W AT 01/0300Z
AT 01/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.9N  73.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 15.1N  76.4W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE   0SE   0SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 15.3N  78.8W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  40SE  30SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 15.2N  80.8W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  50SE  50SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 14.7N  82.1W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 15NE   0SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE  50SE  60SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 14.2N  82.8W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...150NE  60SE  70SW 130NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 13.7N  83.7W...INLAND
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...150NE  60SE  50SW 130NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 05/0000Z 14.0N  85.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 06/0000Z 14.5N  87.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.0N  74.2W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 
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