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TROPICAL STORM BETA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL222020
0300 UTC SAT SEP 19 2020
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
A STORM SURGE WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM PORT MANSFIELD...TX TO
HIGH ISLAND...TX INCLUDING BAFFIN BAY...CORPUS CHRISTI BAY...COPANO
BAY...ARANSAS BAY...SAN ANTONIO BAY...MATAGORDA BAY...AND GALVESTON 
BAY.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM PORT ARANSAS...TX TO HIGH
ISLAND...TX.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM SOUTH OF PORT ARANSAS
TO THE MOUTH OF THE RIO GRANDE AND EAST OF HIGH ISLAND TO MORGAN
CITY LA.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A STORM SURGE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORT MANSFIELD...TX TO HIGH ISLAND...TX INCLUDING BAFFIN 
BAY...CORPUS CHRISTI BAY...COPANO BAY...ARANSAS BAY...SAN ANTONIO
BAY...MATAGORDA BAY...AND GALVESTON BAY
 
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORT ARANSAS TEXAS TO HIGH ISLAND TEXAS
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SOUTH OF PORT ARANSAS TEXAS TO THE MOUTH OF THE RIO GRANDE
* EAST OF HIGH ISLAND TEXAS TO MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA
 
A STORM SURGE WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF LIFE-
THREATENING INUNDATION...FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE
COASTLINE...IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
FOR A DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK...PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE STORM SURGE WATCH/WARNING GRAPHIC...AVAILABLE AT
HURRICANES.GOV.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.  A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS
BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
DANGEROUS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.5N  92.3W AT 19/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR  30 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  996 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT....... 80NE   0SE   0SW  50NW.
34 KT.......150NE  40SE  40SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..  0NE   0SE   0SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.5N  92.3W AT 19/0300Z
AT 19/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.1N  92.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 26.3N  92.2W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 70NE   0SE   0SW  60NW.
34 KT...150NE  60SE  40SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 26.8N  92.8W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  30SE   0SW  60NW.
34 KT...150NE  60SE  40SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 26.8N  93.7W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 35NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
50 KT... 70NE  40SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...160NE  90SE  90SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 27.0N  94.6W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  25SE  25SW  30NW.
50 KT... 70NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...170NE 100SE 100SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 27.4N  95.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...170NE 100SE 100SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 27.8N  96.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...150NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 23/0000Z 28.4N  95.8W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 24/0000Z 29.4N  94.1W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.5N  92.3W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT32 KNHC/MIATCPAT2...AT 19/0600Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BERG
 
 
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