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HURRICANE TEDDY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  18
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL202020
2100 UTC WED SEP 16 2020
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.5N  50.8W AT 16/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT  11 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  973 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  25SE   0SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 80NE  50SE  30SW  90NW.
34 KT.......190NE 100SE  70SW 170NW.
12 FT SEAS..330NE 300SE 270SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.5N  50.8W AT 16/2100Z
AT 16/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.1N  50.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 18.6N  52.0W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 80NE  50SE  40SW  90NW.
34 KT...180NE 110SE  70SW 160NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 20.0N  53.4W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
50 KT... 80NE  60SE  40SW  80NW.
34 KT...170NE 130SE  80SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 21.5N  54.9W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  35SE  25SW  40NW.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  40SW  80NW.
34 KT...170NE 130SE  90SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 23.0N  56.3W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 90NE  80SE  50SW  80NW.
34 KT...170NE 150SE  90SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 24.8N  58.0W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 90NE  80SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT...180NE 160SE 110SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 26.5N  60.2W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 90NE  80SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT...180NE 170SE 110SW 150NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 20/1800Z 29.5N  63.6W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 21/1800Z 33.3N  64.6W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.5N  50.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER LATTO
 
 
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