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TROPICAL STORM TEDDY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL202020
0900 UTC TUE SEP 15 2020
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.7N  46.0W AT 15/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT....... 20NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT.......100NE  50SE  20SW  80NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 210SE  30SW  30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.7N  46.0W AT 15/0900Z
AT 15/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.4N  45.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 14.4N  47.2W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  20SE   0SW  40NW.
34 KT...130NE  90SE  50SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 15.6N  48.7W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  10SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE  70SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 16.8N  50.0W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  25SE  15SW  30NW.
50 KT... 70NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...150NE 130SE  80SW 130NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 18.2N  51.5W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  35SE  20SW  40NW.
50 KT... 80NE  50SE  40SW  70NW.
34 KT...150NE 130SE  90SW 130NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 19.7N  52.9W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  60SE  40SW  70NW.
34 KT...150NE 130SE  90SW 130NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 21.0N  54.2W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT...160NE 140SE 100SW 140NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 19/0600Z 23.5N  56.8W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 20/0600Z 26.5N  59.5W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.7N  46.0W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE
 
 
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