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Hurricane SALLY (Text)


ZCZC MIAPWSAT4 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
                                                                    
HURRICANE SALLY SPECIAL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  20         
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL192020               
0630 UTC WED SEP 16 2020                                            
                                                                    
AT 0630Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE SALLY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE    
29.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 87.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR  
90 KTS...105 MPH...165 KM/H.                                        
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        00Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
CAPE HATTERAS  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
FAYETTEVILLE   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
CHARLOTTE NC   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
CHERRY PT NC   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
NEW RIVER NC   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
MOREHEAD CITY  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  10(10)   X(10)   X(10)
MOREHEAD CITY  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
MOREHEAD CITY  64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
SURF CITY NC   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  12(12)   X(12)   X(12)
SURF CITY NC   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
SURF CITY NC   64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
WILMINGTON NC  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  10(10)   X(10)   X(10)
 
BALD HEAD ISL  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  14(14)   X(14)   X(14)
BALD HEAD ISL  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
BALD HEAD ISL  64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
FLORENCE SC    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   8( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
 
COLUMBIA SC    34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   6( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 
LITTLE RIVER   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  13(13)   X(13)   X(13)
LITTLE RIVER   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
LITTLE RIVER   64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
MYRTLE BEACH   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  14(14)   X(14)   X(14)
MYRTLE BEACH   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
MYRTLE BEACH   64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 
GEORGETOWN SC  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  11(12)   X(12)   X(12)
GEORGETOWN SC  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
GEORGETOWN SC  64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
CHARLESTON SC  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  12(13)   X(13)   X(13)
CHARLESTON SC  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
CHARLESTON SC  64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 
BEAUFORT MCAS  34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   8(10)   X(10)   X(10)
BEAUFORT MCAS  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
ATLANTA GA     34  2   2( 4)   2( 6)   2( 8)   1( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
 
AUGUSTA GA     34  X   2( 2)   X( 2)   3( 5)   4( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
 
SAVANNAH GA    34  X   1( 1)   X( 1)   1( 2)   6( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 
KINGS BAY GA   34  1   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   4( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
WAYCROSS GA    34  2   2( 4)   1( 5)   1( 6)   2( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 
MAYPORT NS FL  34  X   2( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   4( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
JACKSONVILLE   34  1   2( 3)   X( 3)   1( 4)   2( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
GAINESVILLE FL 34  2   2( 4)   X( 4)   1( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
THE VILLAGES   34  1   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
TAMPA FL       34  1   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
CEDAR KEY FL   34  2   3( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
TALLAHASSEE FL 34  4   6(10)   2(12)   1(13)   X(13)   X(13)   X(13)
 
ST MARKS FL    34  3   6( 9)   1(10)   X(10)   1(11)   X(11)   X(11)
 
APALACHICOLA   34 13   7(20)   1(21)   X(21)   X(21)   X(21)   X(21)
 
GFMX 290N 850W 34  6   5(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)
 
PANAMA CITY FL 34 60   6(66)   X(66)   X(66)   X(66)   X(66)   X(66)
PANAMA CITY FL 50  3   2( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
DESTIN EXEC AP 34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
DESTIN EXEC AP 50 39  12(51)   1(52)   X(52)   X(52)   X(52)   X(52)
DESTIN EXEC AP 64  5   3( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 
COLUMBUS GA    34  3   8(11)   9(20)   2(22)   X(22)   X(22)   X(22)
 
BIRMINGHAM AL  34  3   3( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
MONTGOMERY AL  34 15  19(34)   6(40)   1(41)   X(41)   X(41)   X(41)
MONTGOMERY AL  50  1   3( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
WHITING FLD FL 34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
WHITING FLD FL 50 74  10(84)   X(84)   1(85)   X(85)   X(85)   X(85)
WHITING FLD FL 64 36  10(46)   1(47)   X(47)   X(47)   X(47)   X(47)
 
PENSACOLA FL   34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
PENSACOLA FL   50 89   4(93)   X(93)   X(93)   X(93)   X(93)   X(93)
PENSACOLA FL   64 51  10(61)   1(62)   X(62)   X(62)   X(62)   X(62)
 
GFMX 290N 870W 34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
GFMX 290N 870W 50  3   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
MOBILE AL      34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
MOBILE AL      50 39   3(42)   X(42)   X(42)   X(42)   X(42)   X(42)
MOBILE AL      64  9   1(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)
 
GULFPORT MS    34 43   3(46)   1(47)   X(47)   X(47)   X(47)   X(47)
GULFPORT MS    50  3   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
STENNIS MS     34 11   3(14)   1(15)   X(15)   X(15)   X(15)   X(15)
 
BURAS LA       34  5   1( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
GFMX 280N 890W 34  4   2( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
JACKSON MS     34  2   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
NEW ORLEANS LA 34  3   2( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
GFMX 280N 910W 34  2   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
BATON ROUGE LA 34  2   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
MORGAN CITY LA 34  2   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
ALEXANDRIA LA  34  2   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
LAFAYETTE LA   34  2   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
NEW IBERIA LA  34  2   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
PENSACOLA NAS  34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
PENSACOLA NAS  50 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
PENSACOLA NAS  64 72   4(76)   X(76)   X(76)   X(76)   X(76)   X(76)
 
KEESLER AB     34 83   1(84)   X(84)   X(84)   X(84)   X(84)   X(84)
KEESLER AB     50  7   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER STEWART                                                  
NNNN                                                                

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Page last modified: Thursday, 31-Dec-2020 12:10:03 UTC