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BULLETIN
Hurricane Paulette Advisory Number  31
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL172020
1100 AM AST Mon Sep 14 2020
 
...HURRICANE CONDITIONS AND TORRENTIAL RAINS ASSOCIATED WITH 
THE SOUTHERN EYEWALL CONTINUE OVER BERMUDA...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...33.2N 64.8W
ABOUT 65 MI...105 KM N OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100 MPH...155 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 355 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...970 MB...28.65 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
 
None.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
 
A Hurricane Warning is in effect for...
* Bermuda
 
A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are occurring
on Bermuda in the warning area.
 
For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Hurricane Paulette was
located near latitude 33.2 North, longitude 64.8 West. Paulette is
moving toward the north near 14 mph (22 km/h), and this general 
motion should continue into this afternoon.  A turn toward 
the northeast is expected later tonight followed by a turn toward 
the east-northeast and an increase in forward speed Tuesday night 
through Friday morning.

Maximum sustained winds are near 100 mph (155 km/h) with higher
gusts.  Additional strengthening through Tuesday night is likely 
as Paultette acclerates northeastward to east-northeastward. 
Gradual weakening is forecast to begin on Wednesday.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 175 miles
(280 km).  A weather station in Wreck Road, Bermuda recently 
reported a sustained wind of 80 mph (130 km/h) and a gust to 107 mph 
(170 km/h).
 
The estimated minimum central pressure is 970 mb (28.65 inches).
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Paulette can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT2, WMO header WTNT42 KNHC,
and on the web at https://www.hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT2.shtml.
 
WIND:  Hurricane and tropical storm conditions should persist into 
the mid afternoon hours.
 
STORM SURGE:  A dangerous storm surge is expected to produce
significant coastal flooding on Bermuda in areas of onshore winds.
Near the coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and
destructive waves into this afternoon.
 
RAIN:  Paulette will bring periods of heavy rain to Bermuda through
today, with rainfall of 3 to 6 inches expected.
 
SURF:  Swells generated by Paulette are affecting portions of the
Leeward Islands, the Greater Antilles, the Bahamas, Bermuda, and the
east coast of the United States. These swells are likely to cause
life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult
products from your local weather office.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 200 PM AST.
Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST.
 
$$
Forecaster Roberts
 
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