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BULLETIN
Hurricane Paulette Advisory Number  30
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL172020
500 AM AST Mon Sep 14 2020
 
...ENTIRE ISLAND OF BERMUDA INSIDE HURRICANE PAULETTE'S EYE...
...HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS AND TORRENTIAL RAINS TO RETURN FROM THE 
SOUTH AND SOUTHWEST SHORTLY DUE TO PAULETTE'S SOUTHERN EYEWALL...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...32.3N 64.7W
ABOUT 0 MI...0 KM E OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH...150 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 345 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...973 MB...28.74 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
 
None.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
 
A Hurricane Warning is in effect for...
* Bermuda
 
A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are occurring
on Bermuda or will begin again in a couple of hours.
 
For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 500 AM AST (0900 UTC), the center of the eye of Hurricane 
Paulette was located over northeastern Bermuda or near latitude 
32.3 North, longitude 64.7 West. Paulette is moving toward the 
north-northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h), and this motion should 
continue early this morning. A turn toward the north is expected by 
late morning and continue into this afternoon. A faster motion 
toward the northeast is expected by this evening and continue 
through Wednesday. On the forecast track, the eye of Paulette will 
continue to pass over Bermuda during the next couple of hours, 
followed by passage of the southern portion of the eyewall.
 
Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 90 mph (150 km/h) 
with higher gusts.  Additional strengthening is likely when Paulette 
turns northeastward and moves away from Bermuda tonight through 
Tuesday.
 
Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 175 miles
(280 km). Although winds have subsided across much of Bermuda due 
to Paulette's eye passage, hurricane-force winds will return 
shortly when the southern portion of Paulette's eyewall passes over 
the island. Tropical-storm-force winds will continue possibly into 
the early afternoon across the entire island.
 
The estimated minimum central pressure based on surface 
observations on Bermuda is 973 mb (28.74 inches).
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Paulette can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT2, WMO header WTNT42 KNHC,
and on the web at https://www.hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT2.shtml.
 
WIND:  Although most of Bermuda is currently inside Paulette's eye
where much weaker winds exist, hurricane conditions will return to
Bermuda from the south and southwest when the southern eyewall
passes over the island in a couple of hours.  Hurricane conditions
should subside around mid-morning, but tropical storm conditions
will persist into late-morning and possibly early afternoon.
 
STORM SURGE:  A dangerous storm surge is expected to produce
significant coastal flooding on Bermuda in areas of onshore winds.
Near the coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and
destructive waves into this afternoon.
 
RAIN:  Paulette will bring periods of heavy rain to Bermuda through
today, with rainfall of 3 to 6 inches expected.
 
SURF:  Swells generated by Paulette are affecting portions of the
Leeward Islands, the Greater Antilles, the Bahamas, Bermuda, and the
east coast of the United States. These swells are likely to cause
life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult
products from your local weather office.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 800 AM AST.
Next complete advisory at 1100 AM AST.
 
$$
Forecaster Stewart
 
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