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BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Paulette Advisory Number  15
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL172020
1100 AM AST Thu Sep 10 2020
 
...PAULETTE A LITTLE WEAKER BUT EXPECTED TO RESTRENGTHEN IN A
COUPLE OF DAYS...
...OCEAN SWELLS FORECAST TO SPREAD ACROSS THE SOUTHWESTERN ATLANTIC
THROUGH THE WEEKEND...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...21.5N 49.1W
ABOUT 935 MI...1510 KM ENE OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS
ABOUT 1220 MI...1960 KM SE OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...998 MB...29.47 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.
 
Interests in Bermuda should monitor the progress of this system.
Please consult products from your local weather office.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Paulette was
located near latitude 21.5 North, longitude 49.1 West.  Paulette is
moving toward the west-northwest near 10 mph (17 km/h).  A 
west-northwestward or northwestward motion with some increase in 
forward speed is expected through the weekend.
 
Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 50 mph (85 km/h) 
with higher gusts.  Some additional slight weakening is expected 
during the next day or so, but Paulette is then forecast to 
restrengthen by Saturday.  Paulette could become a hurricane by 
Sunday or Monday. 
 
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 205 miles (335 km)
from the center.
 
The estimated minimum central pressure is 998 mb (29.47 inches).
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF:  Swells generated by Paulette are expected to reach portions
of the Leeward Islands tonight and Friday and will continue
to spread westward to portions of the Greater Antilles, Bahamas,
Bermuda, and the southeastern United States into the weekend.  These
swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current
conditions.  Please consult products from your local weather office.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST.
 
$$
Forecaster Berg
 
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