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HURRICANE PAULETTE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  31
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL172020
1500 UTC MON SEP 14 2020
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA
 
A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE OCCURRING
ON BERMUDA IN THE WARNING AREA.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.2N  64.8W AT 14/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 355 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  970 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE  20SE   0SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 80NE  50SE  30SW  80NW.
34 KT.......150NE 100SE  80SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..360NE 240SE 270SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.4N  64.7W AT 14/1500Z
AT 14/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 32.9N  64.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 35.1N  63.6W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
50 KT... 80NE  50SE  40SW  80NW.
34 KT...150NE 130SE 100SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 37.5N  59.8W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 80NE  80SE  50SW  80NW.
34 KT...160NE 150SE 120SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 40.1N  54.2W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  50SE  35SW  50NW.
50 KT... 80NE  80SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE 140SW 180NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 42.9N  47.6W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
50 KT...100NE 100SE  80SW 100NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 150SW 200NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 45.5N  41.1W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT...100NE 100SE  90SW 100NW.
34 KT...200NE 220SE 170SW 200NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 47.1N  36.8W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 90NE  90SE  80SW  90NW.
34 KT...200NE 220SE 180SW 200NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 18/1200Z 45.5N  33.2W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 19/1200Z 40.1N  32.1W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 33.4N  64.7W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT32 KNHC/MIATCPAT2...AT 14/1800Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS
 
 
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