ZCZC MIATCDAT5 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM Tropical Depression Omar Discussion Number 15 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL152020 500 AM AST Fri Sep 04 2020 Although it is situated over fairly warm waters of a little over 27 deg C, Omar has been producing very little deep convection overnight while it continues to be affected by strong northerly shear. Some dry air is also being entrained into the circulation. The current intensity of 25 kt is based on continuity from earlier scatterometer measurements. If the lack of convection continues, Omar will be declared a remnant low pressure system later today. In any event, the cyclone should become absorbed by a frontal trough within a couple of days. After turning east-southeastward, Omar is now headed east at a rather slow pace, or 090/6 kt. The system should turn toward the northeast and accelerate ahead of a large mid-level trough within 36-48 hours. The official forecast is somewhat faster than the previous one but slower than the latest track model consensus predictions. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 04/0900Z 35.3N 58.5W 25 KT 30 MPH 12H 04/1800Z 35.6N 57.7W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 24H 05/0600Z 36.5N 57.0W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 36H 05/1800Z 38.1N 56.1W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 48H 06/0600Z 40.5N 54.4W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 60H 06/1800Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Pasch NNNN
Alternate Formats
About Alternates -
E-Mail Advisories -
RSS Feeds
Cyclone Forecasts
Latest Advisory -
Past Advisories -
About Advisories
Marine Forecasts
Latest Products -
About Marine Products
Tools & Data
Satellite Imagery -
US Weather Radar -
Aircraft Recon -
Local Data Archive -
Forecast Verification -
Deadliest/Costliest/Most Intense
Learn About Hurricanes
Storm Names
Wind Scale -
Prepare -
Climatology -
NHC Glossary -
NHC Acronyms -
Frequently Asked Questions -
AOML Hurricane-Research Division
About Us
About NHC -
Mission/Vision -
Other NCEP Centers -
NHC Staff -
Visitor Information -
NHC Library
NOAA/
National Weather Service
National Centers for Environmental Prediction
National Hurricane Center
11691 SW 17th Street
Miami, Florida, 33165-2149 USA
nhcwebmaster@noaa.gov
Disclaimer
Privacy Policy
Credits
About Us
Glossary
Career Opportunities
Page last modified: Thursday, 31-Dec-2020 12:09:45 UTC