ZCZC NFDTCPAT3 ALL TTAA00 KWNH DDHHMM BULLETIN Tropical Depression Laura Advisory Number 35 NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD AL132020 1000 AM CDT Fri Aug 28 2020 ...LAURA LOSING TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS... ...FLOOD THREAT CONTINUES... ...A FEW TORNADOES REMAIN POSSIBLE... SUMMARY OF 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...36.6N 90.5W ABOUT 85 MI...140 KM NW OF MEMPHIS TENNESSEE ABOUT 105 MI...170 KM WSW OF PADUCAH KENTUCKY MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 61 DEGREES AT 20 MPH...31 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB...29.56 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- Flash Flood Watches are posted for portions of northeast Arkansas, southeast Missouri, western Kentucky and Tennessee, northern of Mississippi, and northwest Alabama. There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1000 AM CDT (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Laura was located near latitude 36.6 North, longitude 90.5 West. The depression is moving toward the east-northeast near 20 mph (31 km/h) and this motion is expected to continue as Laura tracks along and south of the Ohio Valley through tonight. Maximum sustained winds are near 30 mph (45 km/h) with higher gusts. Eventually, the remains of Laura will cross the central Appalachians Saturday, before becoming absorbed by an approaching cold front that is forecast to move off the mid-Atlantic coastline by late Saturday. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1001 mb (29.56 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL: Expect 1 to 3 inches, with isolated 5 inch totals from western and central Kentucky and Tennessee into northern Alabama and Mississippi. One to 2 inches, with isolated 4 inch totals are possible over southern parts of Louisiana, Mississippi, and Alabama. By Saturday, 1 to 3 inches of rain is forecast from the central and southern Appalachians to the mid-Atlantic states. This rainfall will continue to contribute to isolated flash and urban flooding, and overflow of small streams and creeks across the aforementioned regions. Minor to moderate river flooding is occurring or forecast in Louisiana and Arkansas. WIND: Gusty winds of 25-30 mph will accompany Laura’s circulation as it moves toward the Lower Ohio Valley through the afternoon. Stronger gusts are possible within thunderstorms. TORNADOES: A few tornadoes remain possible, mainly over parts of Mississippi, Tennessee and southern Kentucky. The risk for a couple of tornadoes should redevelop Saturday afternoon and evening over parts of the mid-Atlantic from Virginia to North Carolina. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 400 PM CDT. $$ Carbin FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 28/1500Z 36.6N 90.5W 25 KT 30 MPH...INLAND 12H 29/0000Z 37.4N 87.8W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP 24H 29/1200Z 37.9N 82.8W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 36H 30/0000Z 38.4N 76.1W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 48H 30/1200Z 39.6N 69.0W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 60H 31/0000Z 42.1N 61.5W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 72H 31/1200Z 49.5N 54.3W 40 KT 45 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP NNNN
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