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BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Cristobal Intermediate Advisory Number 7A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL032020
700 AM CDT Wed Jun 03 2020
 
...CRISTOBAL ABOUT TO MAKE LANDFALL ON THE COAST OF MEXICO...
...HEAVY RAINFALL AND LIFE-THREATENING FLOODING THREAT
CONTINUES...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 700 AM CDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...18.8N 92.1W
ABOUT 25 MI...40 KM NW OF CIUDAD DEL CARMEN MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...SE OR 140 DEGREES AT 3 MPH...6 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...994 MB...29.35 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
 
None.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
 
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Campeche to Puerto de Veracruz
 
For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 700 AM CDT (1200 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Cristobal was
located by an Air Force Hurricane Hunter aircraft near latitude 18.8
North, longitude 92.1 West.  Cristobal is moving toward the
southeast near 3 mph (6 km/h), and this general motion is expected
to continue this morning, followed by a turn toward the east this
afternoon.  A motion toward the north-northeast and north is
expected on Thursday and Friday. On the forecast track, the center
will cross the southern Bay of Campeche coast later today and move
inland over eastern Mexico tonight and Thursday.  The center is
forecast to move back over the Bay of Campeche Thursday night and
Friday.
 
Maximum sustained winds are near 60 mph (95 km/h) with higher
gusts.  Gradual weakening is forecast while the center remains
inland, but restrengthening is expected after Cristobal moves back
over water Thursday night and Friday.
 
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km)
from the center.
 
The minimum central pressure reported by an Air Force Hurricane
Hunter aircraft is 994 mb (29.35 inches).
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Cristobal can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT3, WMO header WTNT43 KNHC, and
on the web at https://www.hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT3.shtml
 
RAINFALL: Cristobal is expected to produce the following rain
accumulations through Friday night:
 
Mexican states of Campeche, northern Chiapas, Quintana Roo, Tabasco,
and Yucatan...10 to 20 inches, isolated 25 inches.
 
Mexican state of southern Chiapas...15 to 20 inches, isolated 25
inches.
 
Mexican states of Veracruz and Oaxaca...5 to 10 inches.
 
Southern Guatemala...Additional 15 to 20 inches, isolated storm
total amounts of 35 inches dating back to Saturday, May 30th.
 
El Salvador...Additional 10 to 15 inches, isolated storm total
amounts of 35 inches dating back to Saturday, May 30th.
 
Belize and Honduras...3 to 6 inches, isolated 10 inches.
 
Rainfall in all of these areas may produce life-threatening flash
floods and mudslides.
 
WIND:  Tropical storm conditions are affecting the coast within
portions of the warning area.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1000 AM CDT.
 
$$
Forecaster Pasch
 
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