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BULLETIN
Tropical Depression Three Intermediate Advisory Number 2A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL032020
100 AM CDT Tue Jun 02 2020
 
...DEPRESSION GETTING BETTER ORGANIZED OVER BAY OF CAMPECHE...
...HEAVY RAINFALL LIKELY OVER PORTIONS OF MEXICO AND CENTRAL
AMERICA...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 100 AM CDT...0600 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.6N 92.0W
ABOUT 95 MI...155 KM W OF CAMPECHE MEXICO
ABOUT 185 MI...300 KM ENE OF COATZACOALCOS MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
 
None.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
 
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Campeche to Puerto de Veracruz
 
A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours.
 
For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 100 AM CDT (0600 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Three
was located near latitude 19.6 North, longitude 92.0 West. The
depression is moving toward the west near 5 mph (7 km/h). This
heading at a slower forward speed is expected to continue this
morning. The depression is forecast to move west-southwestward or
southward at a even slower forward speed this afternoon and tonight,
and meander over the southern Bay of Campeche through late
Wednesday.  On the forecast track, the center of the cyclone is
forecast to be near the coast of the southern Bay of Campeche
Tuesday night through Thursday.
 
Recent satellite-derived wind data indicate that maximum sustained
winds have increased near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts.
Gradual strengthening is expected during the next couple of days and
the depression is forecast to become a tropical storm later today.
 
The estimated minimum central pressure is 1003 mb (29.62 inches)
based on nearby surface observations.
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Tropical Depression Three can be found in the
Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT3, WMO
header WTNT43 KNHC, and on the web at
https://www.hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT3.shtml
 
RAINFALL:  Tropical Depression Three is expected to produce rain
accumulations of 10 to 15 inches over parts of the Mexican states
of Tabasco and Veracruz,  portions of Guatemala and the Yucatan
Peninsula. This system is also expected to produce rain
accumulations of 5 to 10 inches over parts of El Salvador and
Honduras. Isolated maximum rainfall amounts of 20 inches are
possible in the Mexican states of Tabasco, Veracruz, Chiapas and
portions of Guatemala. This rainfall may produce life-threatening
flash floods and mudslides.
 
WIND:  Tropical storm conditions are expected to first reach the
coast within the warning area Tuesday night.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 400 AM CDT.
 
$$
Forecaster Stewart
 
NNNN