ZCZC NFDTCPAT3 ALL TTAA00 KWNH DDHHMM BULLETIN Tropical Depression Cristobal Advisory Number 30 NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD AL032020 1000 PM CDT Mon Jun 08 2020 ...CRISTOBAL MOVING ACROSS CENTRAL ARKANSAS... ...HEAVY RAINFALL EXPECTED TO SPREAD NORTHWARD THROUGH THE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY AND THE WESTERN GREAT LAKES DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS... SUMMARY OF 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...34.8N 92.4W ABOUT 10 MI...20 KM W OF LITTLE ROCK ARKANSAS ABOUT 175 MI...280 KM SSE OF SPRINGFIELD MISSOURI MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 335 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...994 MB...29.36 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- A Flash Flood Watch is in effect for... * Areas in and near the length of the Mississippi Valley A Gale Warning is in effect for... * Lake Michigan DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1000 PM CDT (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Cristobal was located near latitude 34.8 North, longitude 92.4 West. The depression is moving toward the north-northwest near 17 mph (28 km/h) and its motion is expected to accelerate to the north and north-northeast over the next 48 hours. Maximum sustained winds are near 30 mph (45 km/h) with higher gusts. Some strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours as Cristobal transitions into an extratropical cyclone. The estimated minimum central pressure is 994 mb (29.36 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND: Gusty winds are expected Tuesday night and Wednesday over portions of the Midwest and western Great Lakes as Cristobal strengthens as an extratropical low. RAINFALL: Cristobal will produce storm total rainfall accumulations of 2 to 4 inches with local amounts to 6 inches from Arkansas to the western Great Lakes through Wednesday morning. This rainfall may produce flash flooding, and is forecast to produce isolated significant river flooding across portions of the central Gulf Coast into the Lower Mississippi Valley. Smaller streams across southeast Louisiana and southern Mississippi have begun to rise and are forecast to crest mid-week. New and renewed significant river flooding is possible across the Mid and Upper Mississippi Valley. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 400 AM CDT. $$ Forecaster Roth FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 09/0300Z 34.8N 92.4W 25 KT 30 MPH...INLAND 12H 09/1200Z 37.6N 91.9W 25 KT 30 MPH...INLAND 24H 10/0000Z 42.0N 90.0W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 36H 10/1200Z 46.9N 87.1W 40 KT 45 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 48H 11/0000Z 51.0N 83.1W 40 KT 45 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP NNNN
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