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Tropical Depression CRISTOBAL (Text)


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BULLETIN
Tropical Depression Cristobal Advisory Number  30
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD   AL032020
1000 PM CDT Mon Jun 08 2020
 
...CRISTOBAL MOVING ACROSS CENTRAL ARKANSAS...
...HEAVY RAINFALL EXPECTED TO SPREAD NORTHWARD THROUGH THE
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY AND THE WESTERN GREAT LAKES DURING THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...34.8N 92.4W
ABOUT 10 MI...20 KM W OF LITTLE ROCK ARKANSAS
ABOUT 175 MI...280 KM SSE OF SPRINGFIELD MISSOURI
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 335 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...994 MB...29.36 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
A Flash Flood Watch is in effect for...
* Areas in and near the length of the Mississippi Valley

A Gale Warning is in effect for...
* Lake Michigan
 
 
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1000 PM CDT (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression
Cristobal was located near latitude 34.8 North, longitude 92.4 West.
The depression is moving toward the north-northwest near 17 mph (28
km/h) and its motion is expected to accelerate to the north and 
north-northeast over the next 48 hours.
 
Maximum sustained winds are near 30 mph (45 km/h) with higher gusts.
Some strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours as 
Cristobal transitions into an extratropical cyclone. 
 
The estimated minimum central pressure is 994 mb (29.36 inches).
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND: Gusty winds are expected Tuesday night and Wednesday over
portions of the Midwest and western Great Lakes as Cristobal
strengthens as an extratropical low.
 
RAINFALL: Cristobal will produce storm total rainfall accumulations
of 2 to 4 inches with local amounts to 6 inches from Arkansas to
the western Great Lakes through Wednesday morning.  This rainfall
may produce flash flooding, and is forecast to produce isolated
significant river flooding across portions of the central Gulf
Coast into the Lower Mississippi Valley.  Smaller streams across
southeast Louisiana and southern Mississippi have begun to rise and
are forecast to crest mid-week.  New and renewed significant river
flooding is possible across the Mid and Upper Mississippi Valley.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 400 AM CDT.
 
$$
Forecaster Roth
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INIT  09/0300Z 34.8N  92.4W   25 KT  30 MPH...INLAND
 12H  09/1200Z 37.6N  91.9W   25 KT  30 MPH...INLAND
 24H  10/0000Z 42.0N  90.0W   35 KT  40 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 36H  10/1200Z 46.9N  87.1W   40 KT  45 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
 48H  11/0000Z 51.0N  83.1W   40 KT  45 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
 
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Page last modified: Thursday, 31-Dec-2020 12:09:10 UTC