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TROPICAL STORM CRISTOBAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL032020
2100 UTC TUE JUN 02 2020
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CAMPECHE TO PUERTO DE VERACRUZ
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.1N  92.5W AT 02/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE SOUTH OR 170 DEGREES AT   3 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 75NE  60SE  60SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.1N  92.5W AT 02/2100Z
AT 02/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.2N  92.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 18.8N  92.6W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 18.4N  92.4W...INLAND
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 18.2N  91.8W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 18.5N  91.6W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 19.1N  91.4W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 20.4N  91.5W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE  80SW  80NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 06/1800Z 23.7N  91.2W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 07/1800Z 28.0N  91.5W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.1N  92.5W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT33 KNHC/MIATCPAT3...AT 03/0000Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 
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