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BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Arthur Advisory Number   8
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL012020
1100 AM EDT Mon May 18 2020
 
...CENTER OF ARTHUR PASSING JUST SOUTHEAST OF CAPE HATTERAS...
...STORM BRINGING HEAVY RAINFALL AND GUSTY WINDS TO PORTIONS OF
EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...35.1N 75.2W
ABOUT 20 MI...30 KM ESE OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 30 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...996 MB...29.42 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
 
None.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
 
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Surf City to Duck NC
* Pamlico and Albemarle Sounds
 
A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area.
 
For storm information specific to your area, including possible
inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your
local National Weather Service forecast office.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1100 AM EDT (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Arthur was
located near latitude 35.1 North, longitude 75.2 West. Arthur is
moving toward the north-northeast near 16 mph (26 km/h). A turn
toward the northeast is expected later today, followed by a turn 
toward the east on Tuesday. A slower southeast or south-southeast 
motion is forecast to begin Tuesday night and continue through 
Wednesday.  On the forecast track, the center of Arthur will begin
moving away from the North Carolina Outer Banks this afternoon. 
Arthur is then forecast to turn away from the east coast of the 
United States tonight and Tuesday.
 
Reports from an Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft indicate 
that the maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph (85 km/h) with 
higher gusts. Some additional strengthening is forecast during the 
next 24 hours.  Little change in strength is expected Tuesday night 
and Wednesday. 
 
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 125 miles (205 km)
from the center, primarily over water to the east of the center. 
NOAA buoy 41025 located about 20 miles (30 km) southeast of Cape 
Hatteras, North Carolina, reported sustained winds of 43 mph (68 
km/h) with a gust to 49 mph (80 km/h). 
 
The latest minimum central pressure estimated from reconnaissance 
aircraft data is 996 mb (29.42 inches).
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND:  Tropical storm conditions are expected within the Tropical
Storm Warning area through early afternoon.
 
RAINFALL: Arthur is expected to produce total rain accumulations of
1 to 3 inches over coastal North Carolina through this afternoon,
with isolated maximum amounts of 5 inches.
 
SURF:  Swells generated by Arthur are affecting portions of the
southeast U.S. coast and are expected to spread northward along the
U.S. mid-Atlantic coast during the next day or so.  These swells
could cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please
consult products from your local weather office.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 200 PM EDT.
Next complete advisory at 500 PM EDT.
 
$$
Forecaster Brown
 
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