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TROPICAL STORM FLOSSIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  14
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP072019
2100 UTC WED JUL 31 2019
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.0N 127.3W AT 31/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  14 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  995 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 60NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT.......100NE  90SE   0SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 150SE  60SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.0N 127.3W AT 31/2100Z
AT 31/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.8N 126.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 14.5N 129.4W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 60NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE   0SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 15.1N 132.1W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...110NE  90SE   0SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 15.7N 135.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE   0SW  40NW.
34 KT...110NE 100SE  40SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 16.3N 137.7W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE  50SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 17.2N 143.2W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  20SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE  80SE  50SW 100NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 04/1800Z 18.0N 148.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 05/1800Z 19.3N 152.7W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.0N 127.3W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
 
 
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