ZCZC HFOTCDCP1 ALL TTAA00 PHFO DDHHMM Post-Tropical Cyclone Erick Discussion Number 35 NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI EP062019 500 PM HST Sun Aug 04 2019 For most of the day, satellite images showed that Erick was a low level cloud swirl. Recent images indicated that a few thunderstorms have developed around the system. These occasional pulses of deep convection will be expected to occur as the system continues to spin down, but with strong vertical shear continuing to impact Erick, redevelopment is not anticipated. The Dvorak intensity estimate from PHFO was 1.5/25 kt. SAB and JTWC called the system too weak to classify. The UW/CIMSS ADT indicated 1.7/27 kt at 05/0000 UTC. An ASCAT-C pass from 2124 UTC showed 25 kt in the northeast quadrant. Based on these inputs, Erick will be designated a post-tropical remnant low with an intensity of 25 kt. The center of Erick has been moving at 280/10 kt within a low level steering current. This general motion is expected to continue through dissipation over the next day or so. The forecast track for the remnant low was nudged slightly south because of a more westward initial motion and is close to the TVCN, GFEX, and HCCA guidance. This is the last advisory issued by the Central Pacific Hurricane Center on Erick. Additional information on this system can be found in the High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service in Honolulu under AWIPS header HFOHSFNP and WMO header FZPN40 PHFO. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 05/0300Z 19.2N 169.1W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 12H 05/1200Z 19.6N 170.2W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 24H 06/0000Z 19.8N 171.9W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 36H 06/1200Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Kodama NNNN
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Page last modified: Tuesday, 31-Dec-2019 12:09:50 UTC