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BULLETIN
Tropical Depression Fifteen Advisory Number   4
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL152019
1100 AM AST Tue Oct 15 2019

...DEPRESSION REMAINS POORLY ORGANIZED...
...EXPECTED TO PASS NEAR THE EASTERN CABO VERDE ISLANDS LATER TODAY
AND TONIGHT...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...15.6N 21.6W
ABOUT 160 MI...260 KM E OF THE CABO VERDE ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 325 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

Interests in the Cabo Verde Islands should closely monitor the
progress of the depression.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Fifteen
was located near latitude 15.6 North, longitude 21.6 West.  The
depression is moving toward the northwest near 9 mph (15 km/h), and
this general motion is expected to continue through Wednesday. On
the forecast track, the center of the depression is expected to
pass over or near the eastern Cabo Verde Islands later today and
tonight.

Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts.
Little change in strength is forecast during the next 24 hours.
Weakening is expected to begin on Wednesday, and the system is
forecast to become a remnant low by Wednesday night or Thursday.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL: The depression is expected to produce total rainfall
accumulations of 1 to 3 inches across the eastern and northern Cabo
Verde Islands through Wednesday. This rainfall could cause flash
flooding and mudslides.

WIND:  Tropical-storm-force wind gusts could occur across the
eastern Cabo Verde Islands later today and tonight.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST.

$$
Forecaster Stewart

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