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HURRICANE LORENZO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL132019
1500 UTC WED SEP 25 2019
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.1N  35.1W AT 25/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  15 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  983 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  75 KT WITH GUSTS TO  90 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE   0SE   0SW  25NW.
50 KT....... 60NE  20SE  20SW  50NW.
34 KT.......180NE 130SE  30SW 160NW.
12 FT SEAS..270NE 210SE 180SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.1N  35.1W AT 25/1500Z
AT 25/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.8N  34.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 14.4N  37.1W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  15SE  10SW  25NW.
50 KT... 60NE  30SE  20SW  50NW.
34 KT...180NE 150SE  50SW 160NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 15.3N  39.2W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  15SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  30SW  60NW.
34 KT...200NE 160SE  90SW 160NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 16.7N  40.8W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 80NE  60SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT...200NE 180SE 100SW 160NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 18.4N  42.2W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 80NE  60SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT...200NE 180SE 100SW 160NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 21.9N  44.2W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  60SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT...200NE 180SE 100SW 160NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 29/1200Z 25.0N  44.5W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 30/1200Z 29.0N  42.0W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.1N  35.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 
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