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BULLETIN
Hurricane Humberto Advisory Number  16
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL092019
1100 AM EDT Mon Sep 16 2019

...HUMBERTO GETTING BETTER ORGANIZED TO THE WEST OF BERMUDA...
...LARGE SWELLS AFFECTING MUCH OF THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES
COASTLINE...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...29.9N 76.5W
ABOUT 710 MI...1145 KM W OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH...140 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 70 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...978 MB...28.88 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

Interests in and around Bermuda should monitor the progress of
Humberto since a Tropical Storm Watch will likely be required for
Bermuda later this afternoon.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1100 AM EDT (1500 UTC), the center of Hurricane Humberto was
located near latitude 29.9 North, longitude 76.5 West. Humberto is
moving toward the east-northeast near 7 mph (11 km/h). This general
motion with a gradual increase in forward speed is expected through
early Thursday.  On the forecast track, the center of Humberto is
forecast to approach Bermuda Wednesday night.

Data from an Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft indicate that
maximum sustained winds are near 85 mph (140 km/h) with higher
gusts.  Strengthening is expected during the next 48 hours, and
Humberto could become a major hurricane by Tuesday night.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 30 miles (45 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 150 miles
(240 km).

The minimum central pressure recently measured by reconnaissance
aircraft was 978 mb (28.88 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL:  Outer bands associated with Humberto are expected to
produce an additional 1 to 2 inches of rainfall in the central
Bahamas, with isolated storm total rainfall amounts of 6 inches.

Humberto may bring periods of heavy rain to Bermuda beginning on
Thursday.

SURF:  Swells generated by Humberto will affect the northwestern
Bahamas and the southeastern coast of the United States from
east-central Florida to North Carolina during the next few days.
These swells could cause life-threatening surf and rip current
conditions.  Please consult products from your local weather
office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 PM EDT.

$$
Forecaster Stewart

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