ZCZC MIAPWSAT5 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM HURRICANE DORIAN WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 48 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052019 0900 UTC THU SEP 05 2019 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DORIAN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 31.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 79.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 100 KTS...115 MPH...185 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT CAPE RACE NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 8(10) X(10) ILE ST PIERRE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 19(19) 16(35) 1(36) ILE ST PIERRE 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) X( 6) BURGEO NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 25(25) 33(58) X(58) BURGEO NFLD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 15(17) X(17) BURGEO NFLD 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) PTX BASQUES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 39(39) 32(71) X(71) PTX BASQUES 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 22(30) X(30) PTX BASQUES 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) X( 8) EDDY POINT NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 66(66) 4(70) X(70) EDDY POINT NS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 25(25) 3(28) X(28) EDDY POINT NS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) SYDNEY NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 65(65) 10(75) X(75) SYDNEY NS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 25(25) 9(34) X(34) SYDNEY NS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 3(10) X(10) SABLE ISLAND 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 55(55) X(55) X(55) SABLE ISLAND 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 14(14) X(14) X(14) SABLE ISLAND 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) HALIFAX NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 70(70) 1(71) X(71) HALIFAX NS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 30(30) 1(31) X(31) HALIFAX NS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) X( 8) X( 8) YARMOUTH NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 61(61) X(61) X(61) YARMOUTH NS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 29(29) X(29) X(29) YARMOUTH NS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) X(11) X(11) MONCTON NB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 30(30) 1(31) X(31) MONCTON NB 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) X( 7) X( 7) MONCTON NB 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) ST JOHN NB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 27(27) X(27) X(27) ST JOHN NB 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6) EASTPORT ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 18(18) 1(19) X(19) EASTPORT ME 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) BAR HARBOR ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) X(11) X(11) AUGUSTA ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6) PORTLAND ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6) CONCORD NH 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) PORTSMOUTH NH 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) X( 6) X( 6) WORCESTER MA 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) X( 5) X( 5) SPRINGFIELD MA 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) BOSTON MA 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7) X( 7) X( 7) HYANNIS MA 34 X X( X) X( X) 13(13) 21(34) X(34) X(34) HYANNIS MA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6) HYANNIS MA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) NANTUCKET MA 34 X X( X) X( X) 20(20) 26(46) X(46) X(46) NANTUCKET MA 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 13(14) X(14) X(14) NANTUCKET MA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) PROVIDENCE RI 34 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 4( 8) X( 8) X( 8) BRIDGEPORT CT 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) NEW HAVEN CT 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) HARTFORD CT 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) NEW LONDON CT 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 3( 7) X( 7) X( 7) POUGHKEEPSIE 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) MONTAUK POINT 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 16(17) 6(23) X(23) X(23) MONTAUK POINT 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) ISLIP NY 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) NYC JFK AIRPRT 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) NYC CNTRL PARK 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) NEWARK NJ 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) TRENTON NJ 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) NWS EARLE NJ 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) ALLENTOWN PA 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) PHILADELPHIA 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) ATLANTIC CITY 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 3( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) BALTIMORE MD 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) DOVER DE 34 X 1( 1) 4( 5) 3( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) ANNAPOLIS MD 34 X 2( 2) 3( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) WASHINGTON DC 34 X 2( 2) 3( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) CAPE HENLOPEN 34 X 2( 2) 17(19) 7(26) 1(27) X(27) X(27) CAPE HENLOPEN 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) OCEAN CITY MD 34 X 4( 4) 30(34) 7(41) X(41) X(41) X(41) OCEAN CITY MD 50 X X( X) 5( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) PAX RIVER NAS 34 X 3( 3) 5( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) WALLOPS CDA 34 X 3( 3) 15(18) 3(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) CHARLOTTESVIL 34 X 3( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) RICHMOND VA 34 1 3( 4) 6(10) 1(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) DANVILLE VA 34 2 3( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) NORFOLK NAS 34 1 7( 8) 26(34) 1(35) X(35) X(35) X(35) NORFOLK NAS 50 X X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) NORFOLK VA 34 1 7( 8) 33(41) 1(42) X(42) X(42) X(42) NORFOLK VA 50 X X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) NORFOLK VA 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) OCEANA NAS VA 34 1 8( 9) 43(52) 1(53) X(53) X(53) X(53) OCEANA NAS VA 50 X X( X) 11(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) OCEANA NAS VA 64 X X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) ELIZABETH CTY 34 2 23(25) 52(77) X(77) X(77) X(77) X(77) ELIZABETH CTY 50 X 1( 1) 26(27) X(27) X(27) X(27) X(27) ELIZABETH CTY 64 X X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) GREENSBORO NC 34 2 3( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) RALEIGH NC 34 2 8(10) 4(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) ROCKY MT NC 34 2 27(29) 9(38) X(38) X(38) X(38) X(38) ROCKY MT NC 50 X 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) CAPE HATTERAS 34 4 77(81) 19(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) CAPE HATTERAS 50 X 16(16) 78(94) X(94) X(94) X(94) X(94) CAPE HATTERAS 64 X 2( 2) 74(76) X(76) X(76) X(76) X(76) FAYETTEVILLE 34 9 28(37) 2(39) X(39) X(39) X(39) X(39) FAYETTEVILLE 50 1 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) CHARLOTTE NC 34 2 2( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) CHERRY PT NC 34 6 91(97) 2(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) CHERRY PT NC 50 X 67(67) 17(84) X(84) X(84) X(84) X(84) CHERRY PT NC 64 X 15(15) 13(28) X(28) X(28) X(28) X(28) NEW RIVER NC 34 21 77(98) 2(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) NEW RIVER NC 50 1 77(78) 18(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) NEW RIVER NC 64 X 39(39) 43(82) X(82) X(82) X(82) X(82) MOREHEAD CITY 34 31 68(99) 1(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) MOREHEAD CITY 50 1 84(85) 10(95) X(95) X(95) X(95) X(95) MOREHEAD CITY 64 X 50(50) 31(81) X(81) X(81) X(81) X(81) SURF CITY NC 34 60 40(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) SURF CITY NC 50 1 89(90) X(90) X(90) X(90) X(90) X(90) SURF CITY NC 64 X 37(37) 3(40) X(40) X(40) X(40) X(40) WILMINGTON NC 34 78 22(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) WILMINGTON NC 50 2 86(88) X(88) X(88) X(88) X(88) X(88) WILMINGTON NC 64 X 32(32) 2(34) X(34) X(34) X(34) X(34) BALD HEAD ISL 34 98 2(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) BALD HEAD ISL 50 39 60(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) BALD HEAD ISL 64 3 88(91) X(91) X(91) X(91) X(91) X(91) FLORENCE SC 34 38 5(43) 1(44) X(44) X(44) X(44) X(44) FLORENCE SC 50 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) COLUMBIA SC 34 3 2( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) LITTLE RIVER 34 98 2(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) LITTLE RIVER 50 35 51(86) X(86) X(86) X(86) X(86) X(86) LITTLE RIVER 64 2 31(33) X(33) X(33) X(33) X(33) X(33) MYRTLE BEACH 34 99 1(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) MYRTLE BEACH 50 76 18(94) X(94) X(94) X(94) X(94) X(94) MYRTLE BEACH 64 16 41(57) X(57) X(57) X(57) X(57) X(57) GEORGETOWN SC 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) GEORGETOWN SC 50 85 4(89) X(89) X(89) X(89) X(89) X(89) GEORGETOWN SC 64 32 7(39) X(39) X(39) X(39) X(39) X(39) CHARLESTON SC 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) CHARLESTON SC 50 57 X(57) X(57) X(57) X(57) X(57) X(57) CHARLESTON SC 64 10 X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) BEAUFORT MCAS 34 52 1(53) X(53) X(53) X(53) X(53) X(53) BEAUFORT MCAS 50 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) AUGUSTA GA 34 2 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) SAVANNAH GA 34 4 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) KINGS BAY GA 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) WAYCROSS GA 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) MAYPORT NS FL 34 3 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) JACKSONVILLE 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) $$ FORECASTER PASCH NNNN
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Page last modified: Tuesday, 31-Dec-2019 12:09:15 UTC