ZCZC MIAPWSAT5 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE DORIAN WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 30
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052019
2100 UTC SAT AUG 31 2019
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DORIAN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
26.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 74.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
130 KTS...150 MPH...240 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
18Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
WASHINGTON DC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
CAPE HENLOPEN 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6)
OCEAN CITY MD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8)
PAX RIVER NAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4)
WALLOPS CDA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6)
CHARLOTTESVIL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4)
RICHMOND VA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8)
DANVILLE VA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 7( 9)
NORFOLK NAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 11(12)
NORFOLK NAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
NORFOLK VA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 12(13)
NORFOLK VA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
OCEANA NAS VA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 13(14)
OCEANA NAS VA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
OCEANA NAS VA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1)
ELIZABETH CTY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 18(19)
ELIZABETH CTY 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5)
ELIZABETH CTY 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2)
GREENSBORO NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 8(11)
RALEIGH NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 13(17)
ROCKY MT NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 18(21)
ROCKY MT NC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4)
CAPE HATTERAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 36(40)
CAPE HATTERAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 16(16)
CAPE HATTERAS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7)
FAYETTEVILLE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 23(30)
FAYETTEVILLE 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7)
FAYETTEVILLE 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1)
CHARLOTTE NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 8(13)
CHERRY PT NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 34(39)
CHERRY PT NC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 15(15)
CHERRY PT NC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4)
NEW RIVER NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 41(50)
NEW RIVER NC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 23(24)
NEW RIVER NC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 12(12)
MOREHEAD CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) 41(51)
MOREHEAD CITY 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 23(24)
MOREHEAD CITY 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 12(12)
SURF CITY NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 38(47)
SURF CITY NC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 19(20)
SURF CITY NC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6)
WILMINGTON NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) 37(48)
WILMINGTON NC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 19(21)
WILMINGTON NC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7)
BALD HEAD ISL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 22(25) 37(62)
BALD HEAD ISL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 32(37)
BALD HEAD ISL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 18(20)
FLORENCE SC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 16(17) 21(38)
FLORENCE SC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 7(10)
FLORENCE SC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2)
COLUMBIA SC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 15(16) 12(28)
COLUMBIA SC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5)
LITTLE RIVER 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 16(17) 35(52)
LITTLE RIVER 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 19(23)
LITTLE RIVER 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7)
MYRTLE BEACH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 29(33) 31(64)
MYRTLE BEACH 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 28(36)
MYRTLE BEACH 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 13(16)
GEORGETOWN SC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 26(29) 29(58)
GEORGETOWN SC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 19(27)
GEORGETOWN SC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7)
CHARLESTON SC 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 33(38) 23(61)
CHARLESTON SC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 14(14) 13(27)
CHARLESTON SC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 4( 8)
BEAUFORT MCAS 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 37(43) 15(58)
BEAUFORT MCAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 15(16) 7(23)
BEAUFORT MCAS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 2( 7)
ATLANTA GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5)
AUGUSTA GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 16(17) 8(25)
AUGUSTA GA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
SAVANNAH GA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 38(45) 10(55)
SAVANNAH GA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 17(18) 3(21)
SAVANNAH GA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 2( 7)
KINGS BAY GA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 11(15) 44(59) 5(64)
KINGS BAY GA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 24(26) 2(28)
KINGS BAY GA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) X( 8)
WAYCROSS GA 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) 31(38) 3(41)
WAYCROSS GA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 1(10)
WAYCROSS GA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2)
MAYPORT NS FL 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 5( 8) 26(34) 44(78) 3(81)
MAYPORT NS FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 35(41) 3(44)
MAYPORT NS FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 20(22) 1(23)
JACKSONVILLE 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 13(17) 40(57) 3(60)
JACKSONVILLE 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 21(23) 1(24)
JACKSONVILLE 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 1( 8)
GAINESVILLE FL 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 11(16) 28(44) 1(45)
GAINESVILLE FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 11(13) 1(14)
GAINESVILLE FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4)
DAYTONA BEACH 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 8(12) 32(44) 28(72) 1(73)
DAYTONA BEACH 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 11(13) 24(37) 1(38)
DAYTONA BEACH 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 12(15) X(15)
THE VILLAGES 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 4( 7) 18(25) 23(48) 1(49)
THE VILLAGES 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 11(15) X(15)
THE VILLAGES 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5)
ORLANDO FL 34 X 1( 1) 4( 5) 10(15) 31(46) 18(64) 1(65)
ORLANDO FL 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 11(13) 15(28) X(28)
ORLANDO FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 7(10) X(10)
COCOA BEACH FL 34 1 4( 5) 22(27) 29(56) 29(85) 6(91) X(91)
COCOA BEACH FL 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 13(16) 31(47) 13(60) 1(61)
COCOA BEACH FL 64 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 20(23) 10(33) 1(34)
PATRICK AFB 34 1 1( 2) 8(10) 24(34) 32(66) 13(79) 1(80)
PATRICK AFB 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 25(32) 13(45) X(45)
PATRICK AFB 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 10(11) 7(18) X(18)
FT PIERCE FL 34 1 5( 6) 42(48) 25(73) 19(92) 2(94) X(94)
FT PIERCE FL 50 X X( X) 8( 8) 21(29) 27(56) 6(62) 1(63)
FT PIERCE FL 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 21(30) 4(34) 1(35)
W PALM BEACH 34 1 7( 8) 48(56) 22(78) 12(90) 1(91) X(91)
W PALM BEACH 50 X 1( 1) 12(13) 18(31) 20(51) 2(53) X(53)
W PALM BEACH 64 X X( X) 2( 2) 8(10) 14(24) 2(26) X(26)
FT LAUDERDALE 34 1 5( 6) 39(45) 20(65) 13(78) 2(80) X(80)
FT LAUDERDALE 50 X 1( 1) 6( 7) 11(18) 12(30) 2(32) X(32)
FT LAUDERDALE 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 6(10) 2(12) X(12)
MIAMI FL 34 1 2( 3) 11(14) 11(25) 14(39) 4(43) X(43)
MIAMI FL 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 7(12) 1(13) X(13)
MIAMI FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
HOMESTEAD ARB 34 1 1( 2) 7( 9) 8(17) 12(29) 4(33) X(33)
HOMESTEAD ARB 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 5( 8) 1( 9) X( 9)
HOMESTEAD ARB 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
MARATHON FL 34 X 2( 2) 4( 6) 5(11) 12(23) 3(26) X(26)
KEY WEST FL 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 4( 8) 6(14) 2(16) X(16)
NAPLES FL 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 4( 8) 10(18) 6(24) X(24)
NAPLES FL 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4)
NAPLES FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
FT MYERS FL 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 4( 8) 12(20) 8(28) X(28)
FT MYERS FL 50 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) X( 5)
FT MYERS FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
VENICE FL 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 4( 7) 10(17) 9(26) X(26)
VENICE FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4)
TAMPA FL 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 3( 6) 13(19) 13(32) 1(33)
TAMPA FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) X( 6)
TAMPA FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2)
CEDAR KEY FL 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) 14(20) 21(41) 1(42)
CEDAR KEY FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) 1( 8)
CEDAR KEY FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2)
TALLAHASSEE FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 10(13) 1(14)
TALLAHASSEE FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3)
ST MARKS FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 11(14) 1(15)
ST MARKS FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3)
ST MARKS FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1)
APALACHICOLA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 9(12) X(12)
GFMX 290N 850W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 8(11) X(11)
PANAMA CITY FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) X( 8)
DESTIN EXEC AP 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4)
COLUMBUS GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 1( 6)
GRAND BAHAMA 34 2 66(68) 28(96) 3(99) 1(99) X(99) X(99)
GRAND BAHAMA 50 1 12(13) 60(73) 14(87) 5(92) X(92) X(92)
GRAND BAHAMA 64 X 2( 2) 42(44) 18(62) 9(71) 1(72) X(72)
NEW PROVIDENCE 34 3 52(55) 14(69) 6(75) 4(79) X(79) X(79)
NEW PROVIDENCE 50 1 6( 7) 6(13) 4(17) 4(21) X(21) X(21)
NEW PROVIDENCE 64 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
ANDROS 34 2 5( 7) 8(15) 6(21) 9(30) 1(31) X(31)
ANDROS 50 X 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
ANDROS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
GREAT EXUMA 34 2 2( 4) 4( 8) 2(10) 4(14) X(14) X(14)
SAN SALVADOR 34 3 2( 5) 3( 8) 2(10) 3(13) X(13) X(13)
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
NNNN
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Page last modified: Tuesday, 31-Dec-2019 12:09:15 UTC