ZCZC MIAPWSAT5 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM HURRICANE DORIAN WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 28 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052019 0900 UTC SAT AUG 31 2019 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DORIAN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 72.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 120 KTS...140 MPH...220 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT DANVILLE VA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) ELIZABETH CTY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) GREENSBORO NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) RALEIGH NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) ROCKY MT NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) CAPE HATTERAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) FAYETTEVILLE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 12(14) CHARLOTTE NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 12(13) CHERRY PT NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) NEW RIVER NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 11(13) MOREHEAD CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 11(13) SURF CITY NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 11(14) SURF CITY NC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) SURF CITY NC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) WILMINGTON NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 14(17) WILMINGTON NC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) WILMINGTON NC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) BALD HEAD ISL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) 19(29) BALD HEAD ISL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) BALD HEAD ISL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) FLORENCE SC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 18(23) FLORENCE SC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) FLORENCE SC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) COLUMBIA SC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 19(24) COLUMBIA SC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) COLUMBIA SC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) LITTLE RIVER 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 20(25) LITTLE RIVER 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) LITTLE RIVER 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) MYRTLE BEACH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 11(12) 24(36) MYRTLE BEACH 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 11(12) MYRTLE BEACH 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) GEORGETOWN SC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 10(11) 24(35) GEORGETOWN SC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 11(13) GEORGETOWN SC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) CHARLESTON SC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 14(15) 28(43) CHARLESTON SC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 15(19) CHARLESTON SC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) BEAUFORT MCAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 18(20) 29(49) BEAUFORT MCAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 17(23) BEAUFORT MCAS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 7( 9) ATLANTA GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) AUGUSTA GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 20(27) AUGUSTA GA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) AUGUSTA GA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) SAVANNAH GA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 21(25) 28(53) SAVANNAH GA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 17(23) SAVANNAH GA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 7( 9) KINGS BAY GA 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 7(10) 33(43) 22(65) KINGS BAY GA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 14(15) 15(30) KINGS BAY GA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 7(11) WAYCROSS GA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 22(28) 21(49) WAYCROSS GA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 10(14) WAYCROSS GA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) MAYPORT NS FL 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 17(23) 38(61) 15(76) MAYPORT NS FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 25(27) 17(44) MAYPORT NS FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 13(13) 12(25) JACKSONVILLE 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 9(12) 33(45) 20(65) JACKSONVILLE 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 14(15) 12(27) JACKSONVILLE 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 4( 9) GAINESVILLE FL 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 11(15) 31(46) 11(57) GAINESVILLE FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 10(12) 6(18) GAINESVILLE FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) DAYTONA BEACH 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7) 30(37) 37(74) 7(81) DAYTONA BEACH 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) 29(39) 8(47) DAYTONA BEACH 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 14(16) 3(19) THE VILLAGES 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 19(24) 34(58) 8(66) THE VILLAGES 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 16(20) 4(24) THE VILLAGES 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 2( 8) ORLANDO FL 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 6( 9) 38(47) 31(78) 4(82) ORLANDO FL 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 13(14) 25(39) 3(42) ORLANDO FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 12(17) 2(19) COCOA BEACH FL 34 X 2( 2) 8(10) 30(40) 40(80) 13(93) 2(95) COCOA BEACH FL 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 35(42) 25(67) 2(69) COCOA BEACH FL 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 19(20) 25(45) 2(47) PATRICK AFB 34 X 1( 1) 4( 5) 14(19) 46(65) 21(86) 3(89) PATRICK AFB 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 27(31) 27(58) 3(61) PATRICK AFB 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 11(12) 17(29) 2(31) FT PIERCE FL 34 X 2( 2) 16(18) 39(57) 32(89) 7(96) X(96) FT PIERCE FL 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 15(17) 44(61) 16(77) 1(78) FT PIERCE FL 64 X X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 29(35) 18(53) 1(54) W PALM BEACH 34 X 2( 2) 23(25) 38(63) 28(91) 4(95) X(95) W PALM BEACH 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 19(22) 39(61) 10(71) 1(72) W PALM BEACH 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 29(35) 9(44) 1(45) FT LAUDERDALE 34 X 2( 2) 17(19) 34(53) 30(83) 5(88) X(88) FT LAUDERDALE 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 12(14) 30(44) 7(51) 1(52) FT LAUDERDALE 64 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 19(22) 6(28) X(28) MIAMI FL 34 X 1( 1) 4( 5) 16(21) 32(53) 9(62) 1(63) MIAMI FL 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 19(23) 6(29) X(29) MIAMI FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 3(11) 1(12) HOMESTEAD ARB 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 9(13) 29(42) 9(51) X(51) HOMESTEAD ARB 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 13(15) 5(20) 1(21) HOMESTEAD ARB 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 2( 7) 1( 8) MARATHON FL 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 6(10) 20(30) 6(36) 1(37) MARATHON FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) MARATHON FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) KEY WEST FL 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) 13(19) 4(23) 1(24) KEY WEST FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) NAPLES FL 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) 22(28) 12(40) 2(42) NAPLES FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 5(12) X(12) NAPLES FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) FT MYERS FL 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) 24(30) 16(46) 2(48) FT MYERS FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 8(14) X(14) FT MYERS FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) X( 5) VENICE FL 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 18(23) 17(40) 2(42) VENICE FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 6(10) 1(11) VENICE FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) TAMPA FL 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 17(22) 23(45) 4(49) TAMPA FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 9(13) 2(15) TAMPA FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 1( 6) CEDAR KEY FL 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 15(19) 26(45) 10(55) CEDAR KEY FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) 4(14) CEDAR KEY FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 2( 6) TALLAHASSEE FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 10(13) 9(22) TALLAHASSEE FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) TALLAHASSEE FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) ST MARKS FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 12(15) 8(23) ST MARKS FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) ST MARKS FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) APALACHICOLA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 11(14) 6(20) APALACHICOLA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) APALACHICOLA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) GFMX 290N 850W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 12(15) 5(20) GFMX 290N 850W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) GFMX 290N 850W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) PANAMA CITY FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) 4(14) PANAMA CITY FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) PANAMA CITY FL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) DESTIN EXEC AP 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 3( 7) COLUMBUS GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 8(11) MONTGOMERY AL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) WHITING FLD FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) PENSACOLA FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) GFMX 290N 870W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) GRAND BAHAMA 34 1 8( 9) 69(78) 17(95) 4(99) X(99) X(99) GRAND BAHAMA 50 X 1( 1) 35(36) 36(72) 17(89) 2(91) 1(92) GRAND BAHAMA 64 X X( X) 12(12) 32(44) 22(66) 3(69) X(69) NEW PROVIDENCE 34 1 16(17) 44(61) 10(71) 7(78) 1(79) X(79) NEW PROVIDENCE 50 X 1( 1) 12(13) 7(20) 7(27) 1(28) X(28) NEW PROVIDENCE 64 X X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) 3( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) ANDROS 34 1 3( 4) 11(15) 8(23) 12(35) 3(38) X(38) ANDROS 50 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 3( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) GREAT EXUMA 34 1 3( 4) 4( 8) 3(11) 5(16) 1(17) X(17) SAN SALVADOR 34 3 4( 7) 4(11) 2(13) 4(17) X(17) X(17) SAN SALVADOR 50 1 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) MAYAGUANA 34 1 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) HAVANA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) CIENFUEGOS 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) $$ FORECASTER BEVEN NNNN
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Page last modified: Tuesday, 31-Dec-2019 12:09:15 UTC