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Hurricane DORIAN (Text)


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Hurricane Dorian Advisory Number  19
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL052019
1100 PM AST Wed Aug 28 2019

...HURRICANE HUNTERS FIND DORIAN STRENGTHENING...


SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.7N 66.0W
ABOUT 90 MI...145 KM N OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH...140 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...986 MB...29.12 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the center of Hurricane Dorian was
located near latitude 19.7 North, longitude 66.0 West.  Dorian is
moving toward the northwest near 13 mph (20 km/h), and this general
motion is expected to continue through Friday.  On this track,
Dorian should move over the Atlantic well east of the southeastern
and central Bahamas on Thursday and Friday.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 85 mph (140 km/h)
with higher gusts.  Dorian is forecast to strengthen into a
powerful hurricane during the next couple of days.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 15 miles (30 km) from the
center, and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles
(110 km).

The minimum central pressure estimated from Hurricane Hunter
observations is 986 mb (29.12 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL:  Dorian is expected to produce the following rainfall
accumulations:

The central Bahamas...2 to 4 inches, isolated 6 inches.
The northern Bahamas and Coastal sections of the Southeast United
States...4 to 8 inches, isolated 10 inches.

This rainfall may cause life-threatening flash floods.

SURF:   Swells around the U.S. and British Virgin Islands and
Puerto Rico should gradually diminish tonight.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST.

$$
Forecaster Pasch

NNNN

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Page last modified: Tuesday, 31-Dec-2019 12:09:09 UTC