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HURRICANE DORIAN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  19
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052019
0300 UTC THU AUG 29 2019
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.7N  66.0W AT 29/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT  11 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  986 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  75 KT WITH GUSTS TO  90 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT....... 30NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT....... 60NE  40SE  10SW  30NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 75NE  45SE  30SW  45NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.7N  66.0W AT 29/0300Z
AT 29/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.2N  65.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 21.0N  67.0W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  10SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  10NW.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 22.9N  68.3W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  10SE   0SW  10NW.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 24.5N  69.9W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  10SE  10SW  10NW.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  50SE  30SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z 25.7N  71.7W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  10SE  10SW  10NW.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 27.0N  75.8W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  70SE  40SW  60NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 02/0000Z 27.8N  79.4W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 03/0000Z 28.4N  81.8W...INLAND
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.7N  66.0W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 
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