ZCZC MIATCPEP3 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM BULLETIN Tropical Storm Vicente Advisory Number 14 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP232018 400 PM CDT Mon Oct 22 2018 ...VICENTE BARELY A TROPICAL STORM... ...EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE SOON... SUMMARY OF 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...15.4N 101.5W ABOUT 310 MI...500 KM SE OF MANZANILLO MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. Interests along the southern and southwestern coasts of Mexico should monitor the progress of Vicente. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 400 PM CDT (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Vicente was located near latitude 15.4 North, longitude 101.5 West. Vicente is moving toward the west-northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h), and a turn to the northwest is expected later today followed by a turn to the north-northwest on Tuesday. On the forecast track, the center of Vicente is expected to be near the southwestern coast of Mexico on Tuesday. Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Continued weakening is expected, and Vicente is forecast to dissipate within the next day or so. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb (29.68 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL: Vicente or its remnants are expected to produce 3 to 6 inches of rain with local amounts to 10 inches through Wednesday over portions of Guerrero, Michoacan, Colima, and Jalisco in Mexico. This rainfall could produce life-threatening flash flooding and landslides within mountainous terrain. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1000 PM CDT. $$ Forecaster Pasch NNNN
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