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BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Vicente Advisory Number   8
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP232018
400 AM CDT Sun Oct 21 2018

...TINY VICENTE MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD WELL OFFSHORE THE COAST
OF SOUTHERN MEXICO...


SUMMARY OF 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...14.5N 96.0W
ABOUT 90 MI...145 KM SSE OF PUERTO ANGEL MEXICO
ABOUT 115 MI...185 KM SE OF PUERTO ESCONDIDO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WSW OR 255 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB...29.59 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

Interests along the southern coast of Mexico should monitor the
progress of Vicente.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 400 AM CDT (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Vicente was
located near latitude 14.5 North, longitude 96.0 West. Vicente is
moving toward the west-southwest near 9 mph (15 km/h) and this
general motion is expected to continue this morning. A turn back
toward the west is expected by this afternoon or evening, followed
by a gradual turn toward the northwest on Monday.  On the forecast
track, the center of Vicente is expected to remain just offshore or
near the southern coast of Mexico through Monday.

Maximum sustained winds remain near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher
gusts. Little change in strength is forecast during the next day or
so, followed by gradual weakening on Monday and Tuesday.

Vicente is a small tropical cyclone with tropical-storm-force winds
only extending outward up to 35 miles (55 km) from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1002 mb (29.59 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL:  Between Monday and Wednesday, Vicente or its remnants
is expected to produce 3 to 6 inches of rain with local amounts to
10 inches along the coast of southwestern Mexico. This rainfall
could produce life-threatening flash flooding and landslides within
mountainous terrain.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1000 AM CDT.

$$
Forecaster Stewart

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