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BULLETIN
Tropical Depression Twenty-Two-E Advisory Number   3
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP222018
1000 PM CDT Sun Oct 14 2018

...DEPRESSION EXPECTED TO STRENGTHEN AND MOVE SLOWLY DURING THE NEXT
SEVERAL DAYS...
...HEAVY RAINS OCCURRING ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO...


SUMMARY OF 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.5N 104.3W
ABOUT 105 MI...165 KM S OF MANZANILLO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1000 PM CDT (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression
Twenty-Two-E was located near latitude 17.5 North, longitude 104.3
West.  The depression is moving toward the west-northwest near 7 mph
(11 km/h).  The depression is expected to drift toward the
west-northwest, or even meander, during the next several days.  On
the forecast track, the center of the depression is forecast to
remain offshore the southwestern coast of Mexico.

Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts.
Strengthening is forecast during the next several days, and the
depression is expected to become a tropical storm on Monday.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb (29.68 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL:  The depression is expected to produce total rain
accumulations of 3 to 5 inches with isolated maximum amounts of 8
inches through Tuesday along the coastal sections of the Mexican
states of Michoacan, Colima and Jalisco.  These rains may produce
life-threatening flash floods.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 400 AM CDT.

$$
Forecaster Berg

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