ZCZC MIATCPEP2 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM BULLETIN Tropical Depression Twenty-Two-E Advisory Number 1 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP222018 1000 AM CDT Sun Oct 14 2018 ...NEW TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS JUST TO THE SOUTHWEST OF MEXICO... ...HEAVY RAINS EXPECTED ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO... SUMMARY OF 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...17.0N 102.8W ABOUT 170 MI...275 KM SE OF MANZANILLO MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1000 AM CDT (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Twenty-Two-E was located near latitude 17.0 North, longitude 102.8 West. The depression is moving toward the west-northwest near 6 mph (9 km/h) and this motion is expected to continue today. A turn toward the west and southwest at a slower forward speed forecast to begin tonight and continue into Tuesday. On the forecast track, the depression is expected to slowly move away from Mexico over the next few days. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Gradual strengthening is forecast during the next few days, and the depression is expected to become a tropical storm later tonight or early Monday. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL: The depression is expected to produce total rain accumulations of 3 to 5 inches with isolated maximum of 8 inches along the coastal sections of the Mexican states of Michoacan, Colima and Jalisco. These rains may produce life-threatening flash floods. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 400 PM CDT. $$ Forecaster Stewart NNNN
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