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Tropical Storm OLIVIA (Text)


ZCZC HFOPWSCP5 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 PHFO DDHHMM                                                  
                                                                    
TROPICAL STORM OLIVIA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  45           
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP172018         
2100 UTC TUE SEP 11 2018                                            
                                                                    
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM OLIVIA WAS LOCATED NEAR       
LATITUDE 21.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 152.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED   
WINDS NEAR 50 KTS...60 MPH...95 KM/H.                               
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        18Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
20N 154W       34  3   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
21N 156W       34 11  50(61)   X(61)   X(61)   X(61)   X(61)   X(61)
21N 156W       50  X  12(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)
21N 156W       64  X   2( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 
KAILUA-KONA    34  1   6( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
KAHULUI        34  1  42(43)   X(43)   X(43)   X(43)   X(43)   X(43)
KAHULUI        50  X   4( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
21N 158W       34  1  37(38)  16(54)   X(54)   X(54)   X(54)   X(54)
21N 158W       50  X   7( 7)   4(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)
21N 158W       64  X   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
HANA           34  8  40(48)   X(48)   X(48)   X(48)   X(48)   X(48)
HANA           50  X   6( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
HANA           64  X   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
LANAI CITY     34  2  50(52)   2(54)   X(54)   X(54)   X(54)   X(54)
LANAI CITY     50  X  12(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)
LANAI CITY     64  X   2( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 
KAUNAKAKAI     34  2  57(59)   1(60)   X(60)   X(60)   X(60)   X(60)
KAUNAKAKAI     50  X  12(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)
KAUNAKAKAI     64  X   2( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 
HONOLULU       34  X  22(22)   5(27)   X(27)   X(27)   X(27)   X(27)
 
JOINT BASE PHH 34  X  22(22)   5(27)   X(27)   X(27)   X(27)   X(27)
 
LIHUE          34  X   4( 4)   5( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
 
BARKING SANDS  34  X   3( 3)   4( 7)   X( 7)   1( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 
20N 160W       34  X   2( 2)  46(48)   2(50)   X(50)   X(50)   X(50)
20N 160W       50  X   X( X)  12(12)   1(13)   X(13)   X(13)   X(13)
20N 160W       64  X   X( X)   2( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 
NIIHAU         34  X   2( 2)   6( 8)   X( 8)   1( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
 
21N 160W       34  X   3( 3)  31(34)   X(34)   X(34)   X(34)   X(34)
21N 160W       50  X   X( X)   5( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
BUOY 51003     34  X   1( 1)  16(17)   8(25)   X(25)   X(25)   X(25)
BUOY 51003     50  X   X( X)   2( 2)   3( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
NIHOA          34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
22N 164W       34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   2( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)
 
NECKER         34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)
 
20N 165W       34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   6( 7)  22(29)   1(30)   X(30)
20N 165W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
20N 165W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
FR FRIG SHOALS 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)
 
JOHNSTON ISL   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)
 
20N 170W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)  13(17)   2(19)
 
20N 175W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)
 
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER R BALLARD                                                
 
NNNN                                                                

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Page last modified: Thursday, 08-Aug-2019 14:29:04 UTC