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TROPICAL STORM OLIVIA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 43
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI EP172018
0900 UTC TUE SEP 11 2018
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM OLIVIA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 22.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 150.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 60 KTS...70 MPH...110 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
06Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
20N 151W 34 2 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
20N 154W 34 1 12(13) 7(20) 1(21) X(21) X(21) X(21)
HILO 34 X 1( 1) 7( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
BRADSHAW AAF 34 X 1( 1) 13(14) 3(17) X(17) X(17) X(17)
18N 156W 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
SOUTH POINT 34 1 1( 2) 7( 9) 3(12) X(12) X(12) X(12)
21N 156W 34 1 7( 8) 63(71) 3(74) 1(75) X(75) X(75)
21N 156W 50 X X( X) 26(26) 4(30) X(30) X(30) X(30)
21N 156W 64 X X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
KAILUA-KONA 34 1 1( 2) 26(28) 6(34) X(34) X(34) X(34)
KAILUA-KONA 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
KAHULUI 34 X 1( 1) 44(45) 9(54) X(54) X(54) X(54)
KAHULUI 50 X X( X) 8( 8) 2(10) X(10) X(10) X(10)
KAHULUI 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
21N 158W 34 X 1( 1) 20(21) 35(56) 3(59) X(59) X(59)
21N 158W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 14(15) 1(16) X(16) X(16)
21N 158W 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
HANA 34 1 5( 6) 60(66) 3(69) X(69) X(69) X(69)
HANA 50 X X( X) 22(22) 3(25) X(25) X(25) X(25)
HANA 64 X X( X) 5( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
LANAI CITY 34 X 2( 2) 48(50) 18(68) 1(69) X(69) X(69)
LANAI CITY 50 X X( X) 11(11) 12(23) 1(24) X(24) X(24)
LANAI CITY 64 X X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
KAUNAKAKAI 34 X 2( 2) 46(48) 19(67) 1(68) X(68) X(68)
KAUNAKAKAI 50 X X( X) 9( 9) 11(20) X(20) X(20) X(20)
KAUNAKAKAI 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
BUOY 51002 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
HONOLULU 34 X X( X) 8( 8) 21(29) 2(31) X(31) X(31)
HONOLULU 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
JOINT BASE PHH 34 X X( X) 8( 8) 21(29) 2(31) X(31) X(31)
JOINT BASE PHH 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
LIHUE 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 14(17) 5(22) X(22) X(22)
LIHUE 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
BARKING SANDS 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 10(12) 7(19) X(19) X(19)
20N 160W 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 19(21) 25(46) 1(47) X(47)
20N 160W 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 10(13) X(13) X(13)
20N 160W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
NIIHAU 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 9(11) 9(20) X(20) X(20)
NIIHAU 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
21N 160W 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 19(21) 20(41) X(41) X(41)
21N 160W 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
21N 160W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
BUOY 51003 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 25(32) X(32) X(32)
BUOY 51003 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) 1( 7)
BUOY 51003 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2)
NIHOA 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) 1( 8) X( 8)
BUOY 51101 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3)
22N 164W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 4(13) X(13)
NECKER 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) X( 5)
20N 165W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 13(13) 11(24) X(24)
20N 165W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3)
FR FRIG SHOALS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5)
GARDNER PINN 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3)
20N 170W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 3(10)
25N 170W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
20N 175W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
$$
FORECASTER BIRCHARD
NNNN
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