ZCZC HFOTCPCP5 ALL TTAA00 PHFO DDHHMM BULLETIN Tropical Storm Olivia Advisory Number 44 NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI EP172018 500 AM HST Tue Sep 11 2018 ...OLIVIA WEAKENS A LITTLE MORE... SUMMARY OF 500 AM HST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...21.9N 151.1W ABOUT 355 MI...570 KM ENE OF KAHULUI HAWAII ABOUT 440 MI...705 KM E OF HONOLULU HAWAII MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...999 MB...29.50 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Oahu * Maui County...including the islands of Maui, Molokai, Lanai, and Kahoolawe * Hawaii County A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * Kauai County...including the islands of Kauai and Niihau. A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere in the warning area within 36 hours. A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible in the watch area within 48 hours. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by the National Weather Service office in Honolulu Hawaii. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 500 AM HST (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Olivia was located near latitude 21.9 North, longitude 151.1 West. Olivia is moving toward the west near 10 mph (17 km/h). A turn to the west-southwest is expected later today, with a slight increase in forward speed. This general motion will then continue for the next couple of days. On the forecast track, the center of Olivia will be moving over portions of the main Hawaiian Islands late tonight into Wednesday. Maximum sustained winds are near 65 mph (100 km/h) with higher gusts. Gradual weakening is forecast during the next 48 hours, but Olivia is expected to remain a tropical storm as it moves over the islands. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 90 miles (150 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 999 mb (29.50 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected over Maui County and the Big Island starting this evening. Tropical storm conditions are expected over Oahu starting Wednesday morning. Tropical storm conditions are possible over Kauai County starting Wednesday afternoon or evening. RAINFALL: Olivia is expected to produce total rainfall accumulations of 10 to 15 inches, with isolated maximum amounts of 20 inches possible, especially in higher terrain. This rainfall may produce life-threatening flash flooding. SURF: Large swells generated by Olivia will impact the main Hawaiian Islands over the next couple of days. This will result in dangerously high and potentially damaging surf, mainly along exposed east facing shores. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 800 AM HST. Next complete advisory at 1100 AM HST. $$ Forecaster Birchard NNNN
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