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TROPICAL STORM OLIVIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  46
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP172018
0300 UTC WED SEP 12 2018
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... 
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* KAUAI COUNTY...INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF KAUAI AND NIIHAU
* OAHU
* MAUI COUNTY...INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF MAUI... MOLOKAI... 
LANAI... AND KAHOOLAWE
* HAWAII COUNTY
 
INTERESTS IN THE NORTHWEST HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF OLIVIA.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE IN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.9N 154.2W AT 12/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 260 DEGREES AT  13 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 90NE  40SE  30SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..170NE  60SE  80SW 170NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.9N 154.2W AT 12/0300Z
AT 12/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.2N 153.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 20.4N 156.4W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  40SE  30SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 19.6N 158.9W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  30SE  20SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 19.1N 161.7W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  20SE  10SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 18.8N 164.7W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  20SE   0SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 19.0N 169.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 16/0000Z 19.8N 172.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 17/0000Z 20.9N 176.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.9N 154.2W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER R BALLARD
 
 
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