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HURRICANE OLIVIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  38
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP172018
0300 UTC MON SEP 10 2018
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR OAHU...MAUI... 
MOLOKAI...LANAI...KAHOOLAWE...AND THE BIG ISLAND.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... 
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* OAHU
* MAUI COUNTY...INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF MAUI... MOLOKAI... 
LANAI... AND
KAHOOLAWE
* HAWAII COUNTY
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE IN THE WATCH AREA. A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS
BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
WINDS... CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
DANGEROUS.
 
INTERESTS ON KAUAI AND NIIHAU SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF OLIVIA.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.7N 146.1W AT 10/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  988 MB
EYE DIAMETER  10 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  10SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 40NE  20SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT.......110NE  50SE  50SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..260NE 120SE 150SW 240NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.7N 146.1W AT 10/0300Z
AT 10/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.7N 145.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 21.7N 147.6W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  10SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT...110NE  50SE  50SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 21.5N 149.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  10SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT...110NE  50SE  50SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 21.2N 151.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  10SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT...110NE  50SE  50SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 20.9N 153.7W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE  40SE  40SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 19.9N 158.4W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  30SE  40SW  80NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 14/0000Z 19.3N 163.6W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 15/0000Z 20.1N 168.8W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.7N 146.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER R BALLARD
 
 
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