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HURRICANE LANE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 38
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI EP142018
0300 UTC FRI AUG 24 2018
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE LANE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.8
NORTH...LONGITUDE 157.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 105
KTS...120 MPH...195 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
00Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
20N 154W 34 2 2( 4) 3( 7) 1( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
HILO 34 1 2( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
BRADSHAW AAF 34 2 4( 6) 2( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) 1(10) X(10)
18N 156W 34 22 5(27) 3(30) 2(32) 1(33) X(33) X(33)
SOUTH POINT 34 14 10(24) 5(29) 2(31) 1(32) X(32) X(32)
SOUTH POINT 50 1 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
21N 156W 34 3 13(16) 9(25) 3(28) 2(30) X(30) X(30)
21N 156W 50 X 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
KAILUA-KONA 34 19 21(40) 6(46) 2(48) 2(50) X(50) X(50)
KAILUA-KONA 50 1 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
KAHULUI 34 2 8(10) 6(16) 1(17) 1(18) X(18) X(18)
21N 158W 34 6 53(59) 23(82) 4(86) 2(88) X(88) X(88)
21N 158W 50 1 6( 7) 20(27) 6(33) 1(34) X(34) X(34)
21N 158W 64 X 1( 1) 6( 7) 3(10) X(10) X(10) X(10)
HANA 34 4 17(21) 8(29) 3(32) 1(33) X(33) X(33)
HANA 50 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
LANAI CITY 34 7 44(51) 14(65) 3(68) 2(70) X(70) X(70)
LANAI CITY 50 1 3( 4) 5( 9) 1(10) 1(11) X(11) X(11)
LANAI CITY 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
KAUNAKAKAI 34 4 36(40) 17(57) 4(61) 2(63) X(63) X(63)
KAUNAKAKAI 50 1 2( 3) 4( 7) 1( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
KAUNAKAKAI 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
BUOY 51002 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
BUOY 51002 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
BUOY 51002 64 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
HONOLULU 34 2 14(16) 23(39) 7(46) 2(48) X(48) X(48)
HONOLULU 50 X 1( 1) 4( 5) 3( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
HONOLULU 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
JOINT BASE PHH 34 2 14(16) 23(39) 6(45) 2(47) X(47) X(47)
JOINT BASE PHH 50 X 1( 1) 4( 5) 3( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
JOINT BASE PHH 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
LIHUE 34 2 7( 9) 22(31) 19(50) 5(55) X(55) X(55)
LIHUE 50 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 5( 8) 3(11) X(11) X(11)
LIHUE 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
BARKING SANDS 34 2 5( 7) 16(23) 20(43) 7(50) 1(51) X(51)
BARKING SANDS 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 4( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
BARKING SANDS 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
15N 160W 34 1 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
20N 160W 34 5 25(30) 25(55) 20(75) 9(84) X(84) X(84)
20N 160W 50 1 2( 3) 7(10) 18(28) 11(39) X(39) X(39)
20N 160W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 6(14) X(14) X(14)
25N 160W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 3( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
NIIHAU 34 2 4( 6) 15(21) 23(44) 11(55) X(55) X(55)
NIIHAU 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) 5(12) X(12) X(12)
NIIHAU 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
21N 160W 34 2 13(15) 29(44) 24(68) 13(81) X(81) X(81)
21N 160W 50 X 1( 1) 4( 5) 20(25) 13(38) X(38) X(38)
21N 160W 64 X X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 5(13) X(13) X(13)
BUOY 51003 34 3 7(10) 13(23) 15(38) 16(54) 1(55) X(55)
BUOY 51003 50 1 1( 2) 1( 3) 3( 6) 9(15) X(15) 1(16)
BUOY 51003 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
NIHOA 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 5( 9) 11(20) 2(22) X(22)
BUOY 51101 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 5( 7) 2( 9) X( 9)
22N 164W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 15(18) 7(25) 1(26)
22N 164W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) X( 6)
22N 164W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
NECKER 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 4( 9) 1(10)
20N 165W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 13(14) 11(25) 2(27)
20N 165W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) X( 5)
25N 165W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 2( 5)
FR FRIG SHOALS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 3( 8)
GARDNER PINN 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4)
$$
FORECASTER BALLARD
NNNN
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Page last modified: Thursday, 08-Aug-2019 14:23:36 UTC