ZCZC MIATCPEP2 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM BULLETIN Hurricane John Advisory Number 10 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP122018 900 PM MDT Tue Aug 07 2018 ...JOHN BEGINNING TO MOVE AWAY FROM SOCORRO AFTER PASSING JUST TO THE EAST OF THE ISLAND... SUMMARY OF 900 PM MDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...19.2N 111.1W ABOUT 265 MI...430 KM SSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...105 MPH...165 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...969 MB...28.62 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. Interests in the southern portion of the Baja California peninsula should monitor the progress of John. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 900 PM MDT (0300 UTC), the center of Hurricane John was located near latitude 19.2 North, longitude 111.1 West. John is moving toward the northwest near 10 mph (17 km/h), and a faster northwestward motion is forecast for the next few days. On the forecast track, John should pass to the southwest of Baja California Sur Wednesday and Thursday. Maximum sustained winds are near 105 mph (165 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is forecast during the next day or so, and a weakening trend is expected to begin on Wednesday and continue into Friday. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 115 miles (185 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 969 mb (28.62 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL: John is expected to produce total rain accumulations of 1 to 2 inches over far southern Baja California Sur, with isolated maximum amounts of 3 inches through Wednesday. SURF: Swells generated by John will affect portions of the coasts of southwestern Mexico and the southern portion of the Baja California peninsula during the next few days. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 300 AM MDT. $$ Forecaster Pasch NNNN
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