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Tropical Depression DANIEL (Text)


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Tropical Depression Daniel Discussion Number   9
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP052018
800 PM PDT Mon Jun 25 2018

The depression consists of a tight swirl of low clouds with a small
patch of deep convection well to the south of the center. The
initial intensity is kept at 30 kt in this advisory based on
continuity. However, given that the system is over cold waters and
devoid of deep convection, the NHC forecast calls for Daniel to
become a remnant low on Tuesday.

The shallow cyclone is moving toward the west-northwest or 285
degrees at 8 kt embedded within the easterly trade winds. Daniel or
its remnants should move toward the west until dissipation in a day
or so. Guidance is very consistent with this solution.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT  26/0300Z 19.7N 118.8W   30 KT  35 MPH
 12H  26/1200Z 20.0N 120.0W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 24H  27/0000Z 20.2N 122.0W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 36H  27/1200Z 20.0N 124.0W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 48H  28/0000Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Avila

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Page last modified: Monday, 31-Dec-2018 12:10:23 UTC