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Tropical Depression Carlotta Intermediate Advisory Number 12A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP042018
100 PM CDT Sun Jun 17 2018

...CARLOTTA WEAKENS TO A DEPRESSION...


SUMMARY OF 100 PM CDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.2N 101.6W
ABOUT 35 MI...55 KM S OF ZIHUATANEJO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The government of Mexico has discontinued the Tropical Storm
Warning from Tecpan De Galeana to Lazaro Cardenas.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

There are no coastal watches or warning in effect.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 100 PM CDT (1800 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Carlotta
was estimated to be near near latitude 17.2 North, longitude 101.6
West.  Carlotta is moving toward the northwest near 7 mph (11 km/h)
and this general motion is expected to continue through Monday.  On
the forecast track, the small core of Carlotta or its remnant should
move inland over southern Mexico on Monday.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 35 mph (55 km/h) with
higher gusts.  Carlotta could dissipate later today.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb (29.74 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL:  Carlotta is forecast to produce 3 to 6 inches of rainfall
along the Guerrero and Michoacan coasts, including the city of
Acapulco, with isolated higher amounts of 10 inches possible.  These
rains are likely to produce life-threatening flash floods and
mudslides, especially in areas of higher terrain.  Elsewhere across
the states of Guerrero and Michoacan, rainfall amounts of 1 to 2
inches with isolated amounts of 4 inches are forecast.

SURF:  Swells generated by Carlotta are affecting portions of
the coast of southern Mexico.  These swells are likely to cause
life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.  Please consult
products from your local weather office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 400 PM CDT.

$$
Forecaster Pasch

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