ZCZC MIATCPEP4 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

BULLETIN
Tropical Depression Carlotta Advisory Number  17
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP042018
400 PM CDT Mon Jun 18 2018

...CARLOTTA NOT LIKELY TO LAST MUCH LONGER...


SUMMARY OF 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...18.1N 103.3W
ABOUT 75 MI...115 KM W OF LAZARO CARDENAS MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 400 PM CDT (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Carlotta
was located near latitude 18.1 North, longitude 103.3 West. The
depression is moving toward the northwest near 5 mph (7 km/h) and
this general motion is expected to continue through tonight.  On the
forecast track, the center will be near or over the southwest coast
of Mexico late tonight.

Maximum sustained winds are near 30 mph (45 km/h) with higher gusts.
Weakening is forecast, and Carlotta is expected to become a remnant
low tonight and dissipate by Tuesday morning.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb (29.74 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL:  Carlotta is forecast to produce 3 to 6 inches of rainfall
along the Guerrero, Michoacan, and Colima coasts, with isolated
higher amounts of 10 inches possible.  These rains are likely to
produce life-threatening flash floods and mudslides, especially in
areas of higher terrain.  Elsewhere across the states of Guerrero
and Michoacan, rainfall amounts of 1 to 2 inches with isolated
amounts of 4 inches are forecast.

SURF:  Southwesterly swells are affecting the coast of southern and
southwestern Mexico.  These swells are likely to cause
life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.  Please consult
products from your local weather office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1000 PM CDT.

$$
Forecaster Pasch

NNNN