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BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Carlotta Advisory Number  12
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP042018
1000 AM CDT Sun Jun 17 2018

...DISORGANIZED CARLOTTA NEAR THE COAST OF SOUTHERN MEXICO...
...CONTINUES TO PRODUCE HEAVY RAINS...


SUMMARY OF 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.2N 101.3W
ABOUT 40 MI...65 KM SSE OF ZIHUATANEJO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Tecpan De Galeana to Lazaro Cardenas

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected within the warning area.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1000 AM CDT (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Carlotta was
estimated to be near near latitude 17.2 North, longitude 101.3
West.  Carlotta is moving toward the northwest near 7 mph (11 km/h)
and this general motion is expected to continue into Monday.  On the
forecast track, the small core of Carlotta should move inland within
the warning area by early Monday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts.
Weakening is forecast, and Carlotta is likely to become a tropical
depression later today, and to degenerate into a remnant low on
Monday.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb (29.68 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL:  Carlotta is forecast to produce 3 to 6 inches of rainfall
along the Guerrero and Michoaca coasts, including the city of
Acapulco, with isolated higher amounts of 10 inches possible.  These
rains are likely to produce life-threatening flash floods and
mudslides, especially in areas of higher terrain.  Elsewhere across
the states of Guerrero and Michoaca, rainfall amounts of 1 to 2
inches with isolated amounts of 4 inches are forecast.

WIND:  Tropical storm conditions are likely to spread westward along
the warning area today.

SURF:  Swells generated by Carlotta are affecting portions of
the coast of southern Mexico.  These swells are likely to cause
life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.  Please consult
products from your local weather office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 100 PM CDT.
Next complete advisory at 400 PM CDT.

$$
Forecaster Pasch

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