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BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Carlotta Advisory Number  10
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP042018
1000 PM CDT Sat Jun 16 2018

...CARLOTTA VERY NEAR THE COAST OF SOUTHERN MEXICO WITH 65-MPH
WINDS...


SUMMARY OF 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.6N 99.9W
ABOUT 20 MI...35 KM S OF ACAPULCO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 325 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...997 MB...29.44 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The Government of Mexico has extended the Tropical Storm Warning
westward from Acapulco to Tecpan De Galeana and canceled the
Tropical Storm Warning east of Punta Maldonado.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Punta Maldonado to Tecpan De Galeana

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected within the warning area.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1000 PM CDT (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Carlotta was
located near latitude 16.6 North, longitude 99.9 West.  Carlotta is
moving toward the northwest near 6 mph (9 km/h), and this general
motion is expected to continue overnight and Sunday.  On the
forecast track, Carlotta is expected to move inland within the
warning area overnight or early Sunday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 65 mph (100 km/h) with higher
gusts.  No significant change in strength is expected before
landfall.  The small cyclone is forecast to quickly dissipate over
the high terrain of Mexico by Sunday night.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 997 mb (29.44 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL:  Carlotta is forecast to produce 3 to 6 inches of rainfall
along the Guerrero and southwestern Oaxaca coasts, including the
city of Acapulco, with isolated higher amounts of 10 inches
possible.  These rains are likely to produce life-threatening flash
floods and mudslides, especially in areas of higher terrain.
Elsewhere across the states of Guerrero and Oaxaca, rainfall amounts
of 1 to 2 inches with isolated amounts of 4 inches are forecast.

WIND:  Tropical storm conditions are likely occurring in the
warning area, and these conditions are expected to continue into
Sunday.

SURF:  Swells generated by Carlotta are affecting portions of
the coast of southern Mexico.  These swells are likely to cause
life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.  Please consult
products from your local weather office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 100 AM CDT.
Next complete advisory at 400 AM CDT.

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi

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