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Tropical Depression FOUR-E (Text)


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Tropical Depression Four-E Advisory Number   3
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP042018
400 AM CDT Fri Jun 15 2018

...DISHEVELED DEPRESSION STALLS OFF THE COAST OF SOUTHERN MEXICO...
...HEAVY RAINS OCCURRING IN THE ACAPULCO AREA...


SUMMARY OF 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...15.3N 100.2W
ABOUT 110 MI...180 KM S OF ACAPULCO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...STATIONARY
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Tecpan de Galeana to Punta Maldonado.

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected within the watch area, generally within 36 hours.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 400 AM CDT (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Four-E
was estimated near latitude 15.3 North, longitude 100.2 West. The
depression is currently stationary, but a slow drift toward the
northeast and then north is expected through the weekend. On the
forecast track, the center of the depression could reach the coast
of southern Mexico by Sunday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts.
Some strengthening is forecast, and the depression is expected to
become a tropical storm before it reaches the coast of southern
Mexico.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb (29.74 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL:  The depression is forecast to produce 3 to 6 inches of
rainfall along the Guerrero coast, including the city of Acapulco,
with isolated higher amounts approaching 8 inches possible.  These
rains could produce life-threatening flash floods and mud slides.
Farther inland across the state of Guerrero, rainfall amounts of 1
to 2 inches with isolated amounts of 4 inches are forecast.

WIND:  Tropical storm conditions are expected within the warning
area Saturday or Saturday night.

SURF:  Swells generated by the depression are affecting portions of
the coast of southern Mexico.  These swells are likely to cause
life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.  Please consult
products from your local weather office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 700 AM CDT.
Next complete advisory at 1000 AM CDT.

$$
Forecaster Berg

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Page last modified: Monday, 31-Dec-2018 12:10:20 UTC