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Tropical Depression FOUR-E (Text)


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Tropical Depression Four-E Advisory Number   2
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP042018
1000 PM CDT Thu Jun 14 2018

...DISORGANIZED DEPRESSION DRIFTING NORTHWARD TOWARD MEXICO...
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING ISSUED FOR THE GUERRERO COAST...


SUMMARY OF 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...15.4N 100.3W
ABOUT 105 MI...170 KM SSW OF ACAPULCO MEXICO
ABOUT 180 MI...290 KM SSE OF ZIHUATANEJO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 330 DEGREES AT 3 MPH...6 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The Government of Mexico has issued a Tropical Storm Warning from
Tecpan de Galeana to Punta Maldonado.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Tecpan de Galeana to Punta Maldonado.

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected within the watch area, generally within 36 hours.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1000 PM CDT (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Four-E
was located near latitude 15.4 North, longitude 100.3 West. The
depression is moving toward the north-northwest near 3 mph (6
km/h).  The system is expected to meander off the southwest coast
of Mexico for the next couple of days, eventually drifting
northward toward the coast over the weekend.

Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts.
Some strengthening is forecast during the next day or two, and the
system is expected to be a tropical storm when it approaches
Mexico.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb (29.74 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL:  The depression is forecast to produce 4 to 6 inches of
rainfall along the Guerrero coast, including the city of Acapulco,
with isolated higher amounts approaching 8 inches possible.  These
rains could produce life-threatening flash floods and mud slides.
Farther inland across the state of Guerrero, rainfall amounts of 1
to 2 inches with isolated amounts of 4 inches are forecast.

WIND:  Tropical storm conditions are expected within the warning
area on Saturday.

SURF:  Swells generated by the depression are affecting portions of
the coast of southern Mexico.  These swells are likely to cause
life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.  Please consult
products from your local weather office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 100 AM CDT.
Next complete advisory at 400 AM CDT.

$$
Forecaster Zelinsky

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Page last modified: Monday, 17-Dec-2018 12:10:11 UTC