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TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP042018
1500 UTC FRI JUN 15 2018

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS EXTENDED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING
FOR THE COAST OF MEXICO EASTWARD TO LAGUNAS DE CHACAHUA.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* TECPAN DE GALEANA TO LAGUNAS DE CHACAHUA

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 12 TO 24
HOURS.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.8N  99.7W AT 15/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR  15 DEGREES AT   3 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.8N  99.7W AT 15/1500Z
AT 15/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.7N  99.8W

FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 16.1N  99.4W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 16.5N  99.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 20NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 16.8N  98.7W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 17.2N  98.6W...POST-TROP/INLAND
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.8N  99.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE


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