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BULLETIN
Hurricane Bud Advisory Number  13
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP032018
300 PM MDT Tue Jun 12 2018

...BUD WEAKENING RAPIDLY...


SUMMARY OF 300 PM MDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...18.6N 108.6W
ABOUT 225 MI...365 KM WSW OF CABO CORRIENTES MEXICO
ABOUT 310 MI...495 KM SSE OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...115 MPH...185 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 325 DEGREES AT 3 MPH...6 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...960 MB...28.35 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
Interests in southern Baja California Sur, Mexico, should monitor
the progress of Bud.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 300 PM MDT (2100 UTC), the center of the eye of Hurricane Bud
was located near latitude 18.6 North, longitude 108.6 West. Bud is
moving toward the northwest near 3 mph (6 km/h). A slow
north-northwestward motion is expected later tonight through
Thursday. On the forecast track, the center of Bud will be
approaching Baja California Sur on Thursday, and be near or over
Baja California Sur on Friday.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 115 mph (185 km/h)
with higher gusts.  Bud is a category 3 hurricane on the
Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale.  Rapid weakening is expected
during the next 48 hours, and Bud is forecast to weaken below
hurricane intensity by Wednesday night. However, Bud is still
expected to be a tropical storm when it approaches Baja California
Sur on Thursday.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 25 miles (35 km) from the
center, and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 105
miles (165 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 960 mb (28.35 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL:  Bud is expected to produce total rain accumulations
of 3 to 6 inches across much of southwestern Mexico, with isolated
maximum amounts of 10 inches through Thursday.  These rains
could cause life-threatening flash floods and mud slides.

SURF:  Swells generated by Bud will continue to affect portions of
the coast of southwestern Mexico during the next few days and will
begin to affect the southern Baja California Peninsula later today.
These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip
current conditions.  Please consult products from your local weather
office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 900 PM MDT.

$$
Forecaster Stewart

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