ZCZC MIAPWSAT4 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
                                                                    
TROPICAL STORM MICHAEL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  22          
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL142018               
0300 UTC FRI OCT 12 2018                                            
                                                                    
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM MICHAEL WAS LOCATED NEAR      
LATITUDE 37.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 76.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED    
WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/H.                               
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        00Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
HIBERNIA OILFD 34  X   X( X)  23(23)  14(37)   X(37)   X(37)   X(37)
HIBERNIA OILFD 50  X   X( X)   3( 3)   3( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
CAPE RACE NFLD 34  X   X( X)  14(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)
 
ILE ST PIERRE  34  X   1( 1)  10(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)
 
BURGEO NFLD    34  X   X( X)   4( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
PTX BASQUES    34  X   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
EDDY POINT NS  34  X   2( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
SYDNEY NS      34  X   4( 4)   4( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 
SABLE ISLAND   34  X  32(32)  38(70)   X(70)   X(70)   X(70)   X(70)
SABLE ISLAND   50  X   3( 3)  17(20)   X(20)   X(20)   X(20)   X(20)
SABLE ISLAND   64  X   X( X)   2( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 
HALIFAX NS     34  X   5( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
YARMOUTH NS    34  X  10(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)
 
HYANNIS MA     34  1  10(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)
 
NANTUCKET MA   34  2  21(23)   X(23)   X(23)   X(23)   X(23)   X(23)
 
MONTAUK POINT  34  4   4( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 
ATLANTIC CITY  34  4   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
DOVER DE       34  3   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
CAPE HENLOPEN  34 18   X(18)   X(18)   X(18)   X(18)   X(18)   X(18)
 
OCEAN CITY MD  34 53   X(53)   X(53)   X(53)   X(53)   X(53)   X(53)
 
PAX RIVER NAS  34  5   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
WALLOPS CDA    34 85   X(85)   X(85)   X(85)   X(85)   X(85)   X(85)
 
RICHMOND VA    34 68   X(68)   X(68)   X(68)   X(68)   X(68)   X(68)
 
NORFOLK NAS    34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 
NORFOLK VA     34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 
OCEANA NAS VA  34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
OCEANA NAS VA  50  3   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
ELIZABETH CTY  34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 
ROCKY MT NC    34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 
CAPE HATTERAS  34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 
CHERRY PT NC   34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 
NEW RIVER NC   34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 
MOREHEAD CITY  34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER BERG                                                     
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